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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary-0.18+3.26vs Predicted
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2American University0.05+1.48vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.69+1.65vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-1.27+1.54vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia0.02-1.22vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia0.79-3.60vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.20-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26William and Mary-0.1810.2%1st Place
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3.48American University0.0516.2%1st Place
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4.65University of Maryland-0.697.8%1st Place
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5.54Catholic University of America-1.275.0%1st Place
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3.78University of Virginia0.0214.2%1st Place
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2.4University of Virginia0.7933.5%1st Place
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3.89Virginia Tech-0.2013.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Dutilly | 10.2% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 19.6% | 17.5% | 13.0% |
| Karl Wagerson | 16.2% | 18.1% | 17.4% | 18.0% | 15.1% | 10.6% | 4.6% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 23.0% | 18.8% |
| Benedict Gorman | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 17.2% | 47.3% |
| Connor Lothrop | 14.2% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 16.1% | 17.1% | 13.4% | 7.7% |
| Andrew Montague | 33.5% | 27.3% | 18.1% | 12.4% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Daniel Hale | 13.2% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 17.3% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.