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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.89+5.50vs Predicted
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2University of Miami3.69+5.30vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.69+8.57vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.37+4.57vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.64+2.72vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.63+1.47vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+3.03vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.68+3.77vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-1.49vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.90+0.55vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.84-0.19vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.03-1.60vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii3.29-4.29vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.56-6.05vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.85-4.31vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.10-6.41vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.11-7.38vs Predicted
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18Hampton University0.60-0.35vs Predicted
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19University of Michigan1.44-3.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.5Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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7.3University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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11.57Boston College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.57Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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7.72Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.47University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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10.03St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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11.77University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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7.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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10.55U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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10.81Georgetown University2.840.0%1st Place
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10.4Old Dominion University3.030.0%1st Place
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8.71University of Hawaii3.290.1%1st Place
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7.95Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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10.69University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
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9.59Harvard University3.100.0%1st Place
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9.62Dartmouth College3.110.0%1st Place
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17.65Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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15.59University of Michigan1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Cullman | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| David Hernandez | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Bove | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 2.7% |
| William Hutchings | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 10.2% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| John Wallace | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Michael Russom | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 3.0% |
| Patrick Kana | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Philip Youngberg | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Michael Schalka | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 1.3% |
| Collin Leon | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| James Foster | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Pesch | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Fox | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 1.4% |
| Jason Michas | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Bo McClatchy | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Kimannee Simon | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 16.1% | 63.1% |
| Lawrence Jau | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 28.6% | 23.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.