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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia0.02+2.79vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia0.79+0.37vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.20+0.93vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.69+0.69vs Predicted
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5American University0.05-1.48vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-1.27-0.55vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.18-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79University of Virginia0.0212.2%1st Place
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2.37University of Virginia0.7935.8%1st Place
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3.93Virginia Tech-0.2012.8%1st Place
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4.69University of Maryland-0.697.8%1st Place
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3.52American University0.0516.4%1st Place
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5.45Catholic University of America-1.275.1%1st Place
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4.25William and Mary-0.1810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Lothrop | 12.2% | 15.4% | 18.4% | 17.1% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 7.1% |
| Andrew Montague | 35.8% | 26.2% | 17.5% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Daniel Hale | 12.8% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 17.9% | 17.3% | 14.2% | 9.2% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 21.4% | 20.5% |
| Karl Wagerson | 16.4% | 17.8% | 18.0% | 16.3% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 5.9% |
| Benedict Gorman | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 18.1% | 43.6% |
| Sam Dutilly | 10.0% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 17.5% | 18.2% | 12.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.