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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.55+4.95vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.21+5.11vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.35+3.65vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.55-0.59vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.23+2.18vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+2.65vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+3.35vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.90+0.13vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.91-4.02vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy3.06-2.23vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.86-2.64vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College1.53+0.62vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.41-3.02vs Predicted
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14Bates College2.26-3.63vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.51-2.10vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-4.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.95Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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7.11Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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6.65Roger Williams University3.350.1%1st Place
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3.41Yale University4.550.3%1st Place
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7.18Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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10.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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8.13Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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4.98Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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7.77Maine Maritime Academy3.060.1%1st Place
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8.36University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
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12.62Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
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9.98Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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10.37Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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12.9Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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11.59Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Bainbridge | 8.8% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| David Liebenberg | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Max Lopez | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Graham Landy | 25.2% | 19.5% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Rice | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 6.9% |
| Peter Edmunds | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| William Bowman | 13.5% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Blake Burgess | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Sean Willerford | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 17.7% | 28.9% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% |
| David Pierce | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 7.4% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 17.9% | 30.1% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.