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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia0.79+1.41vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.18+2.22vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia0.02+0.75vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.20-0.12vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.69-0.34vs Predicted
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6American University0.05-2.47vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.27-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41University of Virginia0.7934.7%1st Place
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4.22William and Mary-0.1810.1%1st Place
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3.75University of Virginia0.0215.2%1st Place
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3.88Virginia Tech-0.2013.0%1st Place
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4.66University of Maryland-0.698.0%1st Place
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3.53American University0.0515.6%1st Place
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5.54Catholic University of America-1.273.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Montague | 34.7% | 25.8% | 18.2% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Sam Dutilly | 10.1% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 16.3% | 16.7% | 17.4% | 13.2% |
| Connor Lothrop | 15.2% | 13.8% | 16.9% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 6.8% |
| Daniel Hale | 13.0% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 8.6% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 18.9% | 19.6% | 20.2% |
| Karl Wagerson | 15.6% | 18.4% | 17.2% | 17.1% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 5.1% |
| Benedict Gorman | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 17.4% | 45.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.