Race 3A

veitor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Graham Landy 26.8% 20.4% 14.8% 13.1% 8.1% 6.6% 4.6% 2.3% 1.4% 0.9% 0.8% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Bainbridge 9.4% 9.8% 10.5% 9.5% 10.2% 8.5% 9.0% 7.9% 6.1% 6.9% 4.5% 3.1% 1.9% 1.5% 1.1% 0.1%
David Liebenberg 7.1% 6.4% 6.9% 8.0% 8.1% 7.7% 8.7% 7.4% 9.0% 9.7% 7.0% 5.5% 3.2% 3.2% 1.4% 0.7%
William Bowman 11.8% 14.4% 10.7% 11.8% 11.5% 9.7% 7.3% 7.3% 6.2% 3.9% 2.9% 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Alexandra Arntsen 4.0% 4.8% 6.0% 6.5% 5.3% 7.2% 7.8% 8.8% 7.0% 7.2% 8.4% 7.7% 7.9% 5.8% 4.1% 1.5%
Blake Burgess 5.1% 4.8% 7.9% 6.9% 9.3% 8.0% 6.3% 8.1% 7.1% 8.4% 6.1% 7.1% 6.0% 4.7% 3.5% 0.7%
Dylan Finneran 2.5% 3.9% 3.3% 3.4% 4.7% 3.8% 4.8% 5.3% 5.9% 6.3% 6.8% 8.9% 9.3% 11.7% 12.7% 6.7%
Peter Edmunds 4.8% 5.5% 6.3% 6.3% 5.7% 7.8% 7.8% 7.8% 7.6% 7.5% 8.3% 8.3% 7.1% 4.3% 3.9% 1.0%
Tyler Rice 7.0% 7.5% 7.4% 7.4% 8.5% 9.3% 10.0% 6.9% 7.1% 7.4% 6.1% 5.7% 4.2% 2.8% 1.7% 1.0%
Vincent Marchetto 2.8% 4.0% 3.5% 3.8% 3.6% 4.4% 4.7% 5.1% 7.0% 6.6% 9.8% 9.8% 9.7% 10.6% 9.0% 5.6%
Max Lopez 8.6% 7.5% 8.6% 7.9% 8.3% 7.9% 8.4% 9.3% 7.8% 7.4% 6.4% 4.9% 3.3% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4%
Sean McLaughlin 1.6% 2.1% 2.6% 2.6% 3.5% 2.8% 3.6% 5.3% 5.1% 5.8% 6.8% 8.3% 8.9% 11.3% 15.0% 14.7%
Genevieve Marquardt 1.0% 1.1% 1.2% 1.7% 1.9% 2.5% 2.7% 2.9% 3.7% 3.6% 5.8% 6.6% 7.7% 13.4% 14.6% 29.6%
Sean Willerford 1.2% 1.3% 1.8% 1.8% 1.6% 2.4% 2.3% 2.6% 3.8% 5.2% 5.0% 5.5% 10.2% 11.8% 15.6% 27.9%
David Pierce 2.4% 2.3% 3.5% 3.3% 2.9% 4.7% 5.1% 5.0% 5.9% 5.5% 8.7% 9.6% 11.4% 10.1% 11.3% 8.3%
Bradley Milliken 3.9% 4.2% 5.0% 6.0% 6.8% 6.7% 6.9% 8.0% 9.3% 7.7% 6.6% 7.9% 8.1% 6.1% 5.0% 1.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.