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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia0.79+1.43vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia0.02+1.78vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.18+1.41vs Predicted
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4American University0.05-0.60vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.20-1.16vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-1.27-0.43vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.69-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43University of Virginia0.7934.5%1st Place
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3.78University of Virginia0.0214.1%1st Place
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4.41William and Mary-0.188.6%1st Place
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3.4American University0.0516.7%1st Place
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3.84Virginia Tech-0.2013.4%1st Place
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5.57Catholic University of America-1.274.0%1st Place
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4.57University of Maryland-0.698.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Montague | 34.5% | 24.3% | 18.8% | 12.5% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Connor Lothrop | 14.1% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 17.4% | 17.4% | 13.1% | 7.3% |
| Sam Dutilly | 8.6% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 19.9% | 15.1% |
| Karl Wagerson | 16.7% | 19.9% | 18.6% | 16.7% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 4.3% |
| Daniel Hale | 13.4% | 13.9% | 17.4% | 16.5% | 16.0% | 15.0% | 7.9% |
| Benedict Gorman | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 17.6% | 46.4% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 18.9% | 20.3% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.