Race 4A

veitor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Peter Edmunds 3.9% 6.3% 6.5% 6.8% 7.3% 5.6% 6.8% 8.7% 8.1% 8.3% 7.3% 8.2% 7.3% 4.6% 3.0% 1.3%
Blake Burgess 5.3% 6.7% 7.9% 6.4% 7.3% 7.1% 7.6% 8.2% 9.2% 7.8% 6.2% 6.8% 5.6% 3.6% 3.0% 1.3%
Alexandra Arntsen 5.6% 4.3% 4.1% 6.2% 5.8% 7.5% 8.9% 5.6% 7.1% 8.9% 10.2% 7.7% 6.9% 4.8% 4.5% 1.9%
Max Lopez 7.0% 8.1% 8.0% 9.6% 7.8% 8.2% 8.8% 8.3% 7.4% 7.2% 6.5% 5.5% 3.4% 2.7% 1.0% 0.5%
Dylan Finneran 2.4% 2.6% 3.0% 4.7% 3.3% 4.1% 5.9% 5.1% 7.6% 6.5% 8.0% 7.7% 11.2% 12.2% 9.2% 6.5%
Tyler Rice 5.8% 5.9% 7.6% 10.0% 8.4% 7.9% 7.5% 9.3% 7.2% 7.2% 6.1% 6.2% 5.2% 3.1% 2.1% 0.5%
Bradley Milliken 4.3% 5.8% 5.1% 5.3% 6.3% 5.1% 6.4% 6.2% 8.2% 8.2% 9.1% 8.1% 8.7% 6.3% 4.6% 2.3%
Benjamin Bainbridge 9.8% 10.1% 10.8% 10.0% 8.7% 8.9% 9.3% 7.3% 7.5% 5.5% 4.2% 4.0% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.2%
David Liebenberg 7.1% 7.1% 7.6% 7.4% 9.6% 8.2% 7.2% 7.4% 7.4% 7.7% 8.0% 5.7% 3.9% 3.2% 1.3% 1.2%
William Bowman 12.3% 11.7% 12.9% 11.0% 11.6% 11.2% 8.4% 6.6% 4.8% 3.8% 2.5% 1.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Sean Willerford 2.0% 1.6% 1.5% 1.4% 1.5% 2.6% 2.9% 2.8% 3.9% 5.1% 3.7% 5.8% 7.5% 11.1% 17.0% 29.6%
David Pierce 2.6% 3.1% 3.0% 2.4% 3.9% 5.7% 5.2% 6.2% 6.7% 5.1% 6.6% 10.2% 9.9% 8.6% 12.4% 8.4%
Sean McLaughlin 1.3% 2.3% 1.5% 2.7% 3.4% 3.6% 3.8% 4.7% 4.3% 5.8% 7.5% 8.0% 10.8% 13.2% 13.9% 13.2%
Graham Landy 26.7% 20.2% 15.8% 12.6% 8.5% 5.9% 3.6% 4.1% 1.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Vincent Marchetto 3.3% 2.7% 3.3% 2.5% 4.7% 5.7% 5.9% 5.3% 6.7% 7.2% 8.1% 8.6% 8.7% 13.3% 9.8% 4.2%
Genevieve Marquardt 0.6% 1.5% 1.4% 1.0% 1.9% 2.7% 1.8% 4.2% 2.9% 4.8% 5.7% 5.7% 6.9% 12.1% 17.9% 28.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.