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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia0.79+1.39vs Predicted
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2American University0.05+1.43vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.18+1.33vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia0.02-0.26vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-1.27+0.59vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.20-2.10vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.69-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.39University of Virginia0.7934.6%1st Place
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3.43American University0.0517.0%1st Place
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4.33William and Mary-0.189.3%1st Place
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3.74University of Virginia0.0213.6%1st Place
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5.59Catholic University of America-1.274.2%1st Place
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3.9Virginia Tech-0.2013.0%1st Place
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4.62University of Maryland-0.698.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Montague | 34.6% | 25.6% | 19.4% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Karl Wagerson | 17.0% | 19.2% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 10.8% | 4.3% |
| Sam Dutilly | 9.3% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 17.6% | 19.3% | 13.5% |
| Connor Lothrop | 13.6% | 16.1% | 16.9% | 16.9% | 17.3% | 11.7% | 7.6% |
| Benedict Gorman | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 18.9% | 46.0% |
| Daniel Hale | 13.0% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 17.4% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 8.8% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 21.8% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.