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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.20+2.98vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia0.79+0.37vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.69+1.54vs Predicted
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4American University0.05-0.50vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia0.02-1.21vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.18-1.72vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.27-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98Virginia Tech-0.2012.2%1st Place
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2.37University of Virginia0.7935.7%1st Place
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4.54University of Maryland-0.698.2%1st Place
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3.5American University0.0515.8%1st Place
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3.79University of Virginia0.0213.6%1st Place
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4.28William and Mary-0.1810.2%1st Place
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5.54Catholic University of America-1.274.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hale | 12.2% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 17.3% | 16.6% | 9.0% |
| Andrew Montague | 35.7% | 26.2% | 17.2% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 16.8% | 19.7% | 18.7% |
| Karl Wagerson | 15.8% | 17.8% | 19.0% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 4.9% |
| Connor Lothrop | 13.6% | 14.2% | 16.7% | 18.9% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 7.4% |
| Sam Dutilly | 10.2% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 17.6% | 18.6% | 13.9% |
| Benedict Gorman | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 18.2% | 45.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.