Race 5A

veitor

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Graham Landy 27.3% 18.1% 17.5% 11.3% 8.6% 6.7% 4.6% 3.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Edmunds 4.5% 6.4% 5.9% 6.6% 6.3% 6.8% 6.8% 8.3% 7.6% 8.0% 7.8% 6.3% 7.5% 6.3% 3.4% 1.5%
Genevieve Marquardt 1.4% 1.2% 1.7% 2.3% 1.6% 1.9% 2.5% 2.7% 3.1% 3.3% 6.5% 5.2% 8.6% 10.8% 18.3% 28.9%
Tyler Rice 5.2% 8.3% 7.2% 8.0% 8.0% 7.6% 8.0% 8.5% 7.8% 7.5% 5.2% 6.9% 6.4% 3.5% 1.3% 0.6%
William Bowman 11.9% 13.8% 11.9% 13.1% 10.0% 9.7% 8.9% 5.4% 5.4% 4.1% 3.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Max Lopez 6.8% 7.2% 7.7% 9.6% 9.8% 9.7% 7.9% 8.7% 6.4% 6.7% 6.9% 4.0% 4.0% 2.8% 1.1% 0.7%
Blake Burgess 6.3% 6.0% 5.8% 7.0% 7.2% 7.9% 7.4% 6.4% 9.3% 7.9% 8.0% 7.5% 5.3% 4.8% 2.6% 0.6%
Benjamin Bainbridge 9.9% 10.0% 10.2% 9.7% 9.0% 10.1% 9.0% 8.1% 7.3% 5.7% 4.2% 3.0% 2.0% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Dylan Finneran 2.7% 2.4% 4.2% 2.6% 4.8% 5.3% 4.8% 5.4% 6.2% 7.0% 7.5% 9.5% 10.5% 11.0% 9.5% 6.6%
Alexandra Arntsen 4.5% 5.4% 5.0% 5.0% 6.1% 6.5% 6.2% 8.3% 8.9% 8.5% 10.8% 8.7% 5.8% 5.0% 3.4% 1.9%
Bradley Milliken 4.4% 6.1% 4.5% 5.7% 6.0% 6.2% 7.1% 6.5% 7.8% 8.7% 7.8% 9.5% 6.9% 6.1% 4.1% 2.6%
Vincent Marchetto 3.2% 3.4% 3.0% 3.9% 5.1% 5.0% 6.2% 5.8% 7.9% 6.9% 7.1% 8.1% 9.0% 9.3% 9.8% 6.3%
David Liebenberg 6.1% 6.7% 8.4% 8.1% 8.2% 8.0% 8.2% 9.7% 8.6% 6.7% 5.8% 5.4% 4.7% 3.4% 1.6% 0.4%
Sean McLaughlin 2.0% 1.8% 2.5% 2.4% 3.6% 3.1% 4.2% 4.1% 5.0% 6.4% 7.2% 8.3% 8.5% 12.3% 14.8% 13.8%
David Pierce 2.8% 2.1% 2.9% 3.4% 3.5% 3.3% 5.4% 6.3% 4.7% 7.2% 7.5% 9.4% 10.6% 11.0% 13.4% 6.5%
Sean Willerford 1.0% 1.1% 1.6% 1.3% 2.2% 2.2% 2.8% 2.6% 2.8% 4.8% 4.1% 6.6% 9.4% 11.9% 16.0% 29.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.