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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.14+5.90vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.62+3.83vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.07+5.00vs Predicted
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4Cornell University0.94+3.95vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.00+3.29vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.40-0.70vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College0.85+0.89vs Predicted
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8George Washington University0.70+1.13vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.52+2.88vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.78-1.48vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64-1.41vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.80-2.86vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.24-1.85vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.86-5.56vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University-0.38-1.41vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University0.73-7.18vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College-0.13-4.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.9Boston University1.148.8%1st Place
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5.83Fordham University1.6212.2%1st Place
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8.0Northeastern University1.075.9%1st Place
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7.95Cornell University0.946.4%1st Place
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8.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.007.0%1st Place
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5.3University of Southern California1.4014.0%1st Place
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7.89Eckerd College0.856.2%1st Place
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9.13George Washington University0.704.5%1st Place
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11.88Connecticut College0.522.5%1st Place
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8.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.785.7%1st Place
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9.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.644.1%1st Place
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9.14Tufts University0.805.5%1st Place
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11.15University of Vermont0.242.8%1st Place
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8.44St. Mary's College of Maryland0.866.5%1st Place
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13.59Northwestern University-0.381.6%1st Place
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8.82Christopher Newport University0.735.0%1st Place
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12.58SUNY Maritime College-0.131.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiare Sierra | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Dolan | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Marcus Greco | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Luke Harris | 14.0% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 15.7% |
| Joey Richardson | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Calvin Marsh | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.4% |
| Blake Vogel | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 10.1% |
| Joseph Marynowski | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| George Warfel | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 15.4% | 33.8% |
| Joshua Bendura | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Luke Barker | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.