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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.73+0.90vs Predicted
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2American University-0.91+1.98vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia-0.34-0.14vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.67-0.26vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-1.72+0.25vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia-1.79-0.62vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-1.45-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9Virginia Tech0.7347.3%1st Place
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3.98American University-0.919.2%1st Place
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2.86University of Virginia-0.3420.4%1st Place
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3.74William and Mary-0.6711.2%1st Place
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5.25Catholic University of America-1.723.4%1st Place
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5.38University of Virginia-1.793.4%1st Place
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4.9University of Maryland-1.455.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Young | 47.3% | 28.0% | 15.6% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Anika Liner | 9.2% | 12.7% | 17.3% | 20.5% | 20.0% | 13.7% | 6.8% |
| Maxwell Penders | 20.4% | 25.9% | 21.6% | 17.3% | 9.6% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Julia Hudson | 11.2% | 14.5% | 19.9% | 19.6% | 17.8% | 11.8% | 5.1% |
| Maylis de Saint Victor | 3.4% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 16.7% | 24.9% | 29.7% |
| Anne Krieger | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 21.8% | 36.1% |
| Carter Saunders | 5.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 19.1% | 23.4% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.