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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+2.31vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy3.06+5.59vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.35+3.70vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.90+4.42vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.23+2.13vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+2.61vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.91-1.90vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.21-0.97vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.55-3.02vs Predicted
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10Bates College2.26+0.51vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.41-1.04vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.86-3.59vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-1.59vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.51-1.37vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-4.60vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.53-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31Yale University4.550.3%1st Place
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7.59Maine Maritime Academy3.060.1%1st Place
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6.7Roger Williams University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.42Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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7.13Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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5.1Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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7.03Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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5.98Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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10.51Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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9.96Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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8.41University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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11.41Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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12.63Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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10.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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12.8Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 25.2% | 21.4% | 16.8% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Burgess | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Max Lopez | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Tyler Rice | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| William Bowman | 13.6% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Bainbridge | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| David Pierce | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 7.1% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 5.2% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 14.1% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 29.1% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 7.4% |
| Sean Willerford | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 18.2% | 28.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.