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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.23+6.04vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.21+5.12vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+5.59vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.55+2.20vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+5.29vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.91-0.94vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.86+1.45vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.55-4.69vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97+2.37vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.90-1.63vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.35-4.35vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.41-2.09vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy3.06-5.35vs Predicted
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14Bates College2.26-3.65vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.51-2.15vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.53-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.12Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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8.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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6.2Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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10.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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5.06Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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8.45University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
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3.31Yale University4.550.3%1st Place
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11.37Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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8.37Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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6.65Roger Williams University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.91Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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7.65Maine Maritime Academy3.060.1%1st Place
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10.35Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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12.85Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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12.77Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Rice | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| David Liebenberg | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Benjamin Bainbridge | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 5.6% |
| William Bowman | 11.7% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 1.3% |
| Graham Landy | 27.6% | 18.6% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 13.7% |
| Peter Edmunds | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Max Lopez | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 5.9% |
| Blake Burgess | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| David Pierce | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 7.9% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 16.5% | 30.7% |
| Sean Willerford | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 17.7% | 28.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.