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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia-0.34+2.11vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.73+0.07vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-1.45+2.06vs Predicted
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4American University-0.91+0.24vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.67-1.08vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-1.72-0.49vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-0.70-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11University of Virginia-0.3418.4%1st Place
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2.07Virginia Tech0.7343.8%1st Place
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5.06University of Maryland-1.455.3%1st Place
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4.24American University-0.918.4%1st Place
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3.92William and Mary-0.6711.2%1st Place
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5.51Catholic University of America-1.723.2%1st Place
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4.1University of Virginia-0.709.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Penders | 18.4% | 21.6% | 22.2% | 17.1% | 12.7% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| Aidan Young | 43.8% | 26.5% | 15.3% | 9.6% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Carter Saunders | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 23.5% | 28.1% |
| Anika Liner | 8.4% | 11.6% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 17.7% | 18.2% | 11.2% |
| Julia Hudson | 11.2% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 17.2% | 18.6% | 14.5% | 7.5% |
| Maylis de Saint Victor | 3.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 20.6% | 41.1% |
| James Unger | 9.8% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 18.0% | 18.9% | 16.2% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.