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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.55+4.95vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+8.24vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.91+1.91vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.21+3.32vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+3.65vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College1.53+6.74vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.90+1.40vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.23-1.01vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.35-2.36vs Predicted
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10Yale University4.55-6.64vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy3.06-3.27vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.51+0.69vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.86-4.61vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-2.68vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.41-4.93vs Predicted
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16Bates College2.26-5.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.95Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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10.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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4.91Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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7.32Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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8.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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12.74Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
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8.4Bowdoin College2.900.1%1st Place
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6.99Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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6.64Roger Williams University3.350.1%1st Place
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3.36Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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7.73Maine Maritime Academy3.060.1%1st Place
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12.69Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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8.39University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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11.32Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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10.07Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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10.6Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Bainbridge | 8.2% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 7.3% |
| William Bowman | 14.3% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Sean Willerford | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 15.7% | 30.7% |
| Peter Edmunds | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Tyler Rice | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Max Lopez | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Graham Landy | 24.2% | 19.8% | 17.7% | 13.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Burgess | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 16.9% | 29.8% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 12.6% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 5.0% |
| David Pierce | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.