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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Maine Maritime Academy3.06+6.53vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.35+4.65vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+5.53vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.55-0.58vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.86+3.41vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.21+1.27vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.23+0.23vs Predicted
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8Bates College2.26+2.33vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.91-4.00vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+0.35vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.41-1.06vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.55-5.96vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.90-4.75vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.51-1.30vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.53-2.19vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-4.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.53Maine Maritime Academy3.060.0%1st Place
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6.65Roger Williams University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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3.42Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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8.41University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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7.27Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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7.23Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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10.33Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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5.0Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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10.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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9.94Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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6.04Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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8.25Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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12.7Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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12.81Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
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11.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Burgess | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Max Lopez | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| Bradley Milliken | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Graham Landy | 23.9% | 20.6% | 16.8% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Rice | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| David Pierce | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 6.6% |
| William Bowman | 13.5% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 6.0% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 5.4% |
| Benjamin Bainbridge | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 16.7% | 29.1% |
| Sean Willerford | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 18.3% | 30.1% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.