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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia-0.34+2.11vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.73+0.04vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.67+0.92vs Predicted
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4American University-0.91+0.16vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-1.72+0.58vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-1.45-0.80vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-0.70-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11University of Virginia-0.3419.3%1st Place
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2.04Virginia Tech0.7344.2%1st Place
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3.92William and Mary-0.6710.5%1st Place
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4.16American University-0.918.4%1st Place
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5.58Catholic University of America-1.723.4%1st Place
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5.2University of Maryland-1.454.7%1st Place
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4.0University of Virginia-0.709.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Penders | 19.3% | 21.8% | 19.8% | 17.6% | 12.6% | 7.1% | 1.8% |
| Aidan Young | 44.2% | 26.8% | 15.7% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Julia Hudson | 10.5% | 13.5% | 17.0% | 19.0% | 18.8% | 15.2% | 6.0% |
| Anika Liner | 8.4% | 12.4% | 16.4% | 17.9% | 18.3% | 16.0% | 10.5% |
| Maylis de Saint Victor | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 21.6% | 42.7% |
| Carter Saunders | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 23.5% | 30.9% |
| James Unger | 9.6% | 14.4% | 16.8% | 16.8% | 19.0% | 15.4% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.