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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.21+6.03vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy3.06+5.60vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+7.27vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.86+4.54vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.51+7.83vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.90+2.35vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+1.70vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.41+1.83vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.55-5.64vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.55-3.91vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.91-6.05vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.23-4.89vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.35-6.33vs Predicted
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14Bates College2.26-3.64vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-3.47vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.53-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.03Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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7.6Maine Maritime Academy3.060.0%1st Place
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10.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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8.54University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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12.83Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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8.35Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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8.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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9.83Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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3.36Yale University4.550.3%1st Place
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6.09Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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4.95Boston College3.910.2%1st Place
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7.11Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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6.67Roger Williams University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.36Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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11.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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12.79Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Liebenberg | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Blake Burgess | 4.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Dylan Finneran | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 18.7% | 30.0% |
| Peter Edmunds | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 5.1% |
| Graham Landy | 25.9% | 22.0% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Bainbridge | 9.0% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Bowman | 15.1% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Rice | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Max Lopez | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| David Pierce | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 16.8% | 13.9% |
| Sean Willerford | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 16.3% | 29.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.