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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.73+1.03vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia-0.70+2.01vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-1.45+2.18vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia-0.34-0.88vs Predicted
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5American University-0.91-0.84vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.67-2.02vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.72-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03Virginia Tech0.7342.9%1st Place
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4.01University of Virginia-0.7010.6%1st Place
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5.18University of Maryland-1.454.5%1st Place
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3.12University of Virginia-0.3418.9%1st Place
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4.16American University-0.919.2%1st Place
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3.98William and Mary-0.679.8%1st Place
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5.52Catholic University of America-1.724.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Young | 42.9% | 27.8% | 17.4% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| James Unger | 10.6% | 13.4% | 16.0% | 17.4% | 17.8% | 16.3% | 8.4% |
| Carter Saunders | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 16.2% | 24.5% | 29.6% |
| Maxwell Penders | 18.9% | 19.9% | 22.3% | 17.8% | 13.2% | 6.5% | 1.5% |
| Anika Liner | 9.2% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 17.2% | 18.3% | 17.3% | 10.5% |
| Julia Hudson | 9.8% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 20.5% | 19.0% | 14.1% | 7.4% |
| Maylis de Saint Victor | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 20.4% | 42.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.