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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.35+5.62vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+8.23vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.55+3.02vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.21+3.34vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.23+2.11vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy3.06+1.73vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.55-3.51vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.41+1.86vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.91-4.01vs Predicted
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10Bates College2.26+0.60vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.86-2.61vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.51+0.69vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-4.51vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-2.68vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.53-2.18vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.90-7.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.62Roger Williams University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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6.02Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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7.34Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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7.11Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.73Maine Maritime Academy3.060.1%1st Place
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3.49Yale University4.550.3%1st Place
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9.86Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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4.99Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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10.6Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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8.39University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
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12.69Salve Regina University1.510.0%1st Place
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8.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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11.32Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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12.82Middlebury College1.530.0%1st Place
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8.3Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Lopez | 6.9% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Finneran | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 7.3% |
| Benjamin Bainbridge | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Rice | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Blake Burgess | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Graham Landy | 25.1% | 19.3% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 5.4% |
| William Bowman | 13.1% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| David Pierce | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 7.0% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Genevieve Marquardt | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 30.4% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 13.0% |
| Sean Willerford | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 11.9% | 18.2% | 29.7% |
| Peter Edmunds | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.