← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.37+0.44vs Predicted
-
2Clemson University0.58+1.22vs Predicted
-
3University of North Carolina0.22+0.56vs Predicted
-
4University of South Carolina-0.41+0.52vs Predicted
-
5The Citadel-0.41-0.26vs Predicted
-
6North Carolina State University-0.77-0.83vs Predicted
-
7Georgia Institute of Technology-1.90-0.21vs Predicted
-
8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.35-0.71vs Predicted
-
9College of Coastal Georgia-3.19-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.44College of Charleston2.3767.0%1st Place
-
3.22Clemson University0.5810.7%1st Place
-
3.56University of North Carolina0.228.9%1st Place
-
4.52University of South Carolina-0.414.8%1st Place
-
4.74The Citadel-0.413.9%1st Place
-
5.17North Carolina State University-0.773.0%1st Place
-
6.79Georgia Institute of Technology-1.901.1%1st Place
-
7.29University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.350.4%1st Place
-
8.27College of Coastal Georgia-3.190.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Garcia | 67.0% | 24.1% | 7.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Baird | 10.7% | 24.1% | 25.4% | 20.6% | 12.0% | 5.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 8.9% | 19.4% | 23.4% | 20.2% | 15.5% | 8.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 4.8% | 11.0% | 15.0% | 16.6% | 20.5% | 17.6% | 10.8% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Henry Parker | 3.9% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 17.9% | 18.2% | 19.4% | 12.8% | 4.8% | 0.7% |
| Jake Montjoy | 3.0% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 18.8% | 24.2% | 16.3% | 6.8% | 1.2% |
| James Keller | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 12.2% | 27.4% | 28.7% | 12.5% |
| Christine Moore | 0.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 19.9% | 35.8% | 22.4% |
| Max Stevens | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 9.0% | 19.7% | 62.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.