← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Clemson University0.58+2.22vs Predicted
-
2The Citadel-0.41+2.71vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University-0.77+2.19vs Predicted
-
4University of North Carolina0.22-0.41vs Predicted
-
5Georgia Institute of Technology-1.90+1.75vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston2.37-4.60vs Predicted
-
7University of South Carolina-0.41-2.40vs Predicted
-
8College of Coastal Georgia-3.19+0.22vs Predicted
-
9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.35-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.22Clemson University0.589.8%1st Place
-
4.71The Citadel-0.413.5%1st Place
-
5.19North Carolina State University-0.772.4%1st Place
-
3.59University of North Carolina0.228.6%1st Place
-
6.75Georgia Institute of Technology-1.901.2%1st Place
-
1.4College of Charleston2.3770.0%1st Place
-
4.6University of South Carolina-0.413.5%1st Place
-
8.22College of Coastal Georgia-3.190.3%1st Place
-
7.31University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.350.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Baird | 9.8% | 25.4% | 26.9% | 18.8% | 11.6% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Henry Parker | 3.5% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 18.6% | 21.3% | 11.8% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Jake Montjoy | 2.4% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 17.7% | 23.2% | 16.6% | 6.6% | 2.2% |
| Noah Jost | 8.6% | 19.4% | 23.2% | 20.2% | 15.4% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| James Keller | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 26.2% | 28.1% | 12.6% |
| Dillon Garcia | 70.0% | 22.2% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 3.5% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 19.1% | 21.1% | 16.9% | 11.3% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Max Stevens | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 9.3% | 18.9% | 62.4% |
| Christine Moore | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 19.2% | 37.4% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.