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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rice University0.94+2.77vs Predicted
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2University of Texas1.01+2.11vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.03-0.84vs Predicted
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4University of Tennessee0.67+0.23vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35-0.23vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.30-1.11vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University0.08-1.70vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.99-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77Rice University0.9413.8%1st Place
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4.11University of Texas1.0111.5%1st Place
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2.16Tulane University2.0340.4%1st Place
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4.23University of Tennessee0.6710.8%1st Place
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4.77Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.357.4%1st Place
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4.89Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.307.5%1st Place
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5.3Texas A&M University0.086.4%1st Place
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6.78Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.992.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Slipper | 13.8% | 17.0% | 15.8% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 2.2% |
| Matias Martin | 11.5% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 10.1% | 3.5% |
| Eliza Corral | 40.4% | 28.0% | 16.8% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Riley | 10.8% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 4.8% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 7.4% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 16.9% | 9.1% |
| Nicholas Carew | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 17.1% | 17.3% | 10.8% |
| Cole Gourley | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 18.8% | 21.4% | 14.5% |
| Jack Meyer | 2.2% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 15.2% | 55.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.