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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.22+4.68vs Predicted
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2University of Florida1.59+8.51vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+2.58vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.80+3.14vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+0.57vs Predicted
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6University of Florida2.50+2.23vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.86-0.37vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.13+1.16vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.90-2.18vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.29-4.38vs Predicted
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11Clemson University1.99-1.26vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii3.36-6.63vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.60-5.33vs Predicted
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14Clemson University1.34-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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10.51University of Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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5.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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7.14University of South Florida2.800.1%1st Place
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5.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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8.23University of Florida2.500.1%1st Place
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6.63College of Charleston2.860.1%1st Place
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9.16University of Hawaii2.130.0%1st Place
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6.82Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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5.62University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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9.74Clemson University1.990.0%1st Place
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5.37University of Hawaii3.360.1%1st Place
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7.67Eckerd College2.600.1%1st Place
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11.28Clemson University1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Hall | 11.3% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Michelle Thomas | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 14.4% | 17.6% | 23.6% |
| Krysta Rohde | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 10.2% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Wright | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 5.6% |
| Kathryn Metscher | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Jaclyn McLoughlin | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 11.3% |
| Emilie Mademann | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Abby Featherstone | 10.9% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Kathryn Hodges | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 15.0% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 11.6% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Lara Dallman-Weiss | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% |
| Anna Bradley | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 19.4% | 34.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.