Race 4A

david-van-cleef

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Dillon Garcia 66.0% 23.3% 7.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Noah Jost 6.5% 16.2% 18.4% 18.6% 16.1% 12.4% 8.1% 3.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Kenneth Buck 7.1% 14.8% 17.8% 19.2% 15.2% 13.3% 7.7% 3.8% 0.8% 0.2%
Mason Baird 8.6% 20.3% 22.2% 19.0% 15.2% 8.9% 4.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Andrew Ettlemyer 4.4% 8.1% 12.0% 14.5% 16.2% 16.9% 15.3% 9.7% 2.1% 0.9%
Jake Montjoy 3.2% 6.2% 7.1% 9.3% 12.2% 16.0% 21.1% 16.9% 7.3% 0.8%
Rachel Delie 2.8% 6.3% 9.0% 10.7% 14.8% 16.7% 18.4% 14.6% 5.6% 1.1%
James Keller 0.6% 2.5% 2.7% 3.6% 5.1% 8.5% 11.2% 24.8% 28.7% 12.4%
Christine Moore 0.6% 1.9% 2.1% 2.1% 2.9% 5.1% 9.2% 18.9% 36.1% 21.1%
Max Stevens 0.2% 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 1.6% 2.2% 4.5% 7.5% 18.4% 63.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.