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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.37+0.48vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina-0.41+2.69vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.58+0.38vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.19-0.08vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina0.22-1.25vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.77-0.70vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology-1.90-0.17vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.35-0.68vs Predicted
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9College of Coastal Georgia-3.19-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.48College of Charleston2.3763.9%1st Place
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4.69University of South Carolina-0.414.2%1st Place
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3.38Clemson University0.5810.3%1st Place
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3.92The Citadel0.197.8%1st Place
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3.75University of North Carolina0.228.3%1st Place
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5.3North Carolina State University-0.773.5%1st Place
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6.83Georgia Institute of Technology-1.901.1%1st Place
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7.32University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.350.8%1st Place
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8.32College of Coastal Georgia-3.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Garcia | 63.9% | 27.2% | 6.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 4.2% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 19.9% | 20.4% | 12.5% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Mason Baird | 10.3% | 21.7% | 23.4% | 20.9% | 14.2% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 7.8% | 15.2% | 18.8% | 20.2% | 19.6% | 12.2% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Noah Jost | 8.3% | 16.6% | 21.9% | 20.8% | 15.6% | 11.7% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jake Montjoy | 3.5% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 17.2% | 24.6% | 18.2% | 8.4% | 1.4% |
| James Keller | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 13.2% | 27.6% | 29.1% | 12.4% |
| Christine Moore | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 21.1% | 37.9% | 21.0% |
| Max Stevens | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 9.0% | 19.0% | 64.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.