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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.15+5.44vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.24+4.24vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.52+2.37vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.96+3.38vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+3.47vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.68+2.23vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College1.85+3.95vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.57-2.91vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.05-2.12vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.52-4.51vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.29-1.58vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.97-4.86vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.99-2.51vs Predicted
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14Bates College1.32-1.67vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy1.62-3.28vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.46-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.44Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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6.24University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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5.37Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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7.38Connecticut College2.960.1%1st Place
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8.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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8.23Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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10.95Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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5.09Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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6.88Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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5.49Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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9.42Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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7.14Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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10.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.990.0%1st Place
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12.33Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
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11.72Maine Maritime Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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14.37Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Tamblyn | 7.6% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Crane | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Michael Croteau | 13.4% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Heussler | 5.5% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Bradley Brown | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Scott Goodrich | 5.1% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 7.0% |
| Max Nickbarg | 14.1% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drew Shea | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Willem Sandberg | 11.0% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 2.0% |
| Ian Donahue | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Tronaas | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 5.1% |
| Edward Moan | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 19.7% | 17.1% |
| Christopher Hulse | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 15.8% | 17.0% | 10.9% |
| Peter Markarian | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 16.4% | 55.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.