← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.37+0.49vs Predicted
-
2Clemson University0.58+1.36vs Predicted
-
3The Citadel0.19+0.87vs Predicted
-
4University of South Carolina-0.41+0.66vs Predicted
-
5University of North Carolina0.22-1.23vs Predicted
-
6North Carolina State University-0.77-0.64vs Predicted
-
7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.35+0.31vs Predicted
-
8Georgia Institute of Technology-1.90-1.11vs Predicted
-
9College of Coastal Georgia-3.19-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.49College of Charleston2.3764.2%1st Place
-
3.36Clemson University0.5810.7%1st Place
-
3.87The Citadel0.197.4%1st Place
-
4.66University of South Carolina-0.414.7%1st Place
-
3.77University of North Carolina0.227.9%1st Place
-
5.36North Carolina State University-0.773.2%1st Place
-
7.31University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.350.4%1st Place
-
6.89Georgia Institute of Technology-1.901.3%1st Place
-
8.29College of Coastal Georgia-3.190.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Garcia | 64.2% | 25.6% | 7.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Baird | 10.7% | 23.5% | 22.1% | 19.7% | 14.5% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 7.4% | 15.7% | 20.6% | 18.4% | 20.6% | 12.6% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 4.7% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 18.0% | 19.3% | 20.2% | 12.1% | 3.6% | 0.2% |
| Noah Jost | 7.9% | 15.6% | 23.2% | 20.8% | 16.1% | 11.7% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jake Montjoy | 3.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 23.4% | 20.1% | 8.6% | 1.7% |
| Christine Moore | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 10.1% | 20.4% | 35.6% | 21.5% |
| James Keller | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 12.4% | 28.4% | 30.8% | 12.2% |
| Max Stevens | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 9.0% | 19.2% | 64.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.