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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.37+0.46vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.19+1.91vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.58+0.38vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina0.22-0.29vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina-0.41-0.25vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.35+1.31vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.77-1.58vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology-1.90-1.17vs Predicted
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9College of Coastal Georgia-3.19-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.46College of Charleston2.3766.9%1st Place
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3.91The Citadel0.196.5%1st Place
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3.38Clemson University0.5810.1%1st Place
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3.71University of North Carolina0.228.0%1st Place
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4.75University of South Carolina-0.413.6%1st Place
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7.31University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.350.9%1st Place
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5.42North Carolina State University-0.772.5%1st Place
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6.83Georgia Institute of Technology-1.901.3%1st Place
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8.23College of Coastal Georgia-3.190.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Dillon Garcia | 66.9% | 23.1% | 7.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Kenneth Buck | 6.5% | 16.1% | 20.3% | 20.3% | 18.4% | 12.0% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Mason Baird | 10.1% | 23.8% | 21.8% | 19.9% | 13.8% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Noah Jost | 8.0% | 17.7% | 21.4% | 21.3% | 17.0% | 9.9% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Andrew Ettlemyer | 3.6% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 16.9% | 19.9% | 20.6% | 12.7% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
Christine Moore | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 20.0% | 34.9% | 23.3% |
Jake Montjoy | 2.5% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 15.9% | 24.8% | 18.9% | 9.6% | 1.8% |
James Keller | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 12.2% | 28.0% | 29.8% | 12.1% |
Max Stevens | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 9.2% | 19.1% | 62.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.