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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.07+0.43vs Predicted
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2Georgia Institute of Technology-0.94+2.74vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.23+0.57vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61+2.34vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.33-1.99vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-1.75+0.34vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-1.14-1.74vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-1.71-1.70vs Predicted
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9College of Coastal Georgia-2.98-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.43College of Charleston2.0768.0%1st Place
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4.74Georgia Institute of Technology-0.943.8%1st Place
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3.57Clemson University0.237.5%1st Place
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6.34University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.612.1%1st Place
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3.01The Citadel0.3312.2%1st Place
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6.34University of North Carolina-1.751.9%1st Place
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5.26North Carolina State University-1.142.4%1st Place
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6.3University of South Carolina-1.711.8%1st Place
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8.02College of Coastal Georgia-2.980.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 68.0% | 23.2% | 7.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Mellinger | 3.8% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 17.5% | 19.1% | 16.2% | 11.6% | 6.2% | 1.6% |
| Rowan Barnes | 7.5% | 19.9% | 25.4% | 20.4% | 14.3% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Nevin Williams | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 18.6% | 23.5% | 12.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 12.2% | 29.4% | 25.4% | 18.1% | 9.4% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Runyon Tyler | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 20.7% | 21.8% | 12.2% |
| Julia Boutet | 2.4% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 16.0% | 17.8% | 17.6% | 15.3% | 10.4% | 3.2% |
| Robert Gates | 1.8% | 2.3% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 20.3% | 20.9% | 10.8% |
| Joey Weaver | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 15.8% | 60.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.