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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.24+5.12vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.96+5.09vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.05+3.86vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.62+4.50vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.15+1.54vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.57-0.73vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy1.62+4.59vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.85+2.82vs Predicted
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9Bates College1.32+3.32vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.52-4.62vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.52-5.64vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.97-4.90vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.68-4.89vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.73-2.88vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.46-0.71vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.29-6.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.12University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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7.09Connecticut College2.960.1%1st Place
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6.86Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.620.0%1st Place
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6.54Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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5.27Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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11.59Maine Maritime Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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10.82Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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12.32Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
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5.38Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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5.36Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.1Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.11Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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11.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.730.0%1st Place
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14.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.460.0%1st Place
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9.54Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Crane | 9.8% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Heussler | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Drew Shea | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Stroebel | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Max Nickbarg | 12.0% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hulse | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 18.4% | 10.5% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 5.7% |
| Edward Moan | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 21.2% | 16.5% |
| Michael Croteau | 13.1% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Willem Sandberg | 13.8% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Donahue | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Scott Goodrich | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Brian Gracey | 2.1% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 7.6% |
| Peter Markarian | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 54.3% |
| Christopher Jensen | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.