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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.07+0.43vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.33+1.02vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology-0.94+1.75vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.23-0.36vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina-1.71+1.30vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-1.75+0.31vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-0.61vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-1.14-2.80vs Predicted
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9College of Coastal Georgia-2.98-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.43College of Charleston2.0768.7%1st Place
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3.02The Citadel0.3312.4%1st Place
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4.75Georgia Institute of Technology-0.944.4%1st Place
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3.64Clemson University0.237.4%1st Place
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6.3University of South Carolina-1.711.3%1st Place
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6.31University of North Carolina-1.751.5%1st Place
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6.39University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.611.4%1st Place
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5.2North Carolina State University-1.142.6%1st Place
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7.97College of Coastal Georgia-2.980.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 68.7% | 22.1% | 7.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 12.4% | 29.0% | 25.9% | 17.8% | 9.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Mellinger | 4.4% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 19.0% | 19.2% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Rowan Barnes | 7.4% | 18.9% | 24.9% | 20.1% | 15.2% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Robert Gates | 1.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 15.7% | 20.6% | 22.0% | 11.1% |
| Runyon Tyler | 1.5% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 18.9% | 21.7% | 12.1% |
| Nevin Williams | 1.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 15.0% | 19.9% | 23.0% | 12.9% |
| Julia Boutet | 2.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 15.8% | 17.9% | 19.0% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 3.0% |
| Joey Weaver | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 15.8% | 59.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.