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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.07+0.42vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina-1.75+4.32vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.23+0.63vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61+2.37vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.33-1.99vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-1.14-0.75vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina-1.71-0.77vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology-0.94-3.23vs Predicted
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9College of Coastal Georgia-2.98-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.42College of Charleston2.0767.2%1st Place
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6.32University of North Carolina-1.750.9%1st Place
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3.63Clemson University0.236.7%1st Place
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6.37University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.611.8%1st Place
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3.01The Citadel0.3313.3%1st Place
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5.25North Carolina State University-1.143.1%1st Place
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6.23University of South Carolina-1.711.9%1st Place
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4.77Georgia Institute of Technology-0.944.5%1st Place
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8.0College of Coastal Georgia-2.980.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 67.2% | 25.1% | 6.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Runyon Tyler | 0.9% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 16.3% | 19.8% | 21.0% | 12.1% |
| Rowan Barnes | 6.7% | 18.8% | 26.5% | 20.0% | 14.8% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nevin Williams | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 16.1% | 18.4% | 23.9% | 12.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 13.3% | 29.0% | 24.3% | 17.9% | 9.4% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Julia Boutet | 3.1% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 19.2% | 17.5% | 16.3% | 10.8% | 2.5% |
| Robert Gates | 1.9% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 20.2% | 21.9% | 10.7% |
| Lauren Mellinger | 4.5% | 7.8% | 13.6% | 19.1% | 18.7% | 16.8% | 12.0% | 6.0% | 1.5% |
| Joey Weaver | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 15.1% | 61.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.