← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.07+0.35vs Predicted
-
2Georgia Institute of Technology-0.94+2.80vs Predicted
-
3Clemson University0.23+0.63vs Predicted
-
4University of South Carolina-1.71+2.55vs Predicted
-
5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61+1.64vs Predicted
-
6The Citadel-0.63-1.41vs Predicted
-
7North Carolina State University-1.14-1.66vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont-0.92-3.10vs Predicted
-
9College of Coastal Georgia-2.98-0.43vs Predicted
-
10University of Georgia-3.03-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.35College of Charleston2.0772.8%1st Place
-
4.8Georgia Institute of Technology-0.944.3%1st Place
-
3.63Clemson University0.237.7%1st Place
-
6.55University of South Carolina-1.711.7%1st Place
-
6.64University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.611.5%1st Place
-
4.59The Citadel-0.634.5%1st Place
-
5.34North Carolina State University-1.143.1%1st Place
-
4.9University of Vermont-0.923.6%1st Place
-
8.57College of Coastal Georgia-2.980.4%1st Place
-
8.63University of Georgia-3.030.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 72.8% | 20.8% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Mellinger | 4.3% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Rowan Barnes | 7.7% | 22.0% | 23.1% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Robert Gates | 1.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 20.4% | 14.6% | 5.8% |
| Nevin Williams | 1.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 21.6% | 17.9% | 5.7% |
| Camden Hom | 4.5% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 16.2% | 17.1% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Julia Boutet | 3.1% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Julia Brighton | 3.6% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 16.9% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Joey Weaver | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 11.6% | 25.7% | 43.1% |
| William Bell | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 27.3% | 42.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.