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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.07+0.36vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.23+1.55vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology-0.94+1.72vs Predicted
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4The Citadel-0.63+0.42vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-1.14+0.25vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-0.92-1.15vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina-1.71-0.74vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-1.45vs Predicted
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9College of Coastal Georgia-2.98-0.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.36College of Charleston2.0772.5%1st Place
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3.55Clemson University0.238.8%1st Place
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4.72Georgia Institute of Technology-0.944.5%1st Place
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4.42The Citadel-0.634.5%1st Place
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5.25North Carolina State University-1.142.8%1st Place
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4.85University of Vermont-0.924.1%1st Place
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6.26University of South Carolina-1.711.6%1st Place
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6.55University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.611.0%1st Place
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8.04College of Coastal Georgia-2.980.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 72.5% | 20.8% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 8.8% | 22.2% | 23.8% | 18.2% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Lauren Mellinger | 4.5% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 17.0% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 7.6% | 2.2% |
| Camden Hom | 4.5% | 13.4% | 17.4% | 18.4% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Julia Boutet | 2.8% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 15.5% | 12.0% | 4.2% |
| Julia Brighton | 4.1% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 8.5% | 2.2% |
| Robert Gates | 1.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 17.5% | 23.2% | 13.1% |
| Nevin Williams | 1.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 19.9% | 26.2% | 15.0% |
| Joey Weaver | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 15.7% | 62.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.