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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.07+0.36vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.23+1.47vs Predicted
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3Georgia Institute of Technology-0.94+1.72vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-1.14+1.27vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont-0.92-0.05vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-0.63-1.53vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina-1.71-0.74vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-1.50vs Predicted
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9College of Coastal Georgia-2.98-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.36College of Charleston2.0772.5%1st Place
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3.47Clemson University0.238.6%1st Place
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4.72Georgia Institute of Technology-0.943.5%1st Place
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5.27North Carolina State University-1.142.9%1st Place
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4.95University of Vermont-0.924.2%1st Place
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4.47The Citadel-0.634.0%1st Place
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6.26University of South Carolina-1.711.8%1st Place
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6.5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.611.8%1st Place
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8.0College of Coastal Georgia-2.980.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 72.5% | 20.7% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 8.6% | 23.7% | 23.8% | 18.8% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Mellinger | 3.5% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 15.8% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 2.3% |
| Julia Boutet | 2.9% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 4.0% |
| Julia Brighton | 4.2% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 17.4% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 2.6% |
| Camden Hom | 4.0% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 17.6% | 17.9% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 5.7% | 1.1% |
| Robert Gates | 1.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 22.6% | 12.6% |
| Nevin Williams | 1.8% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 19.5% | 25.6% | 15.2% |
| Joey Weaver | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 14.5% | 62.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.