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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.07+0.46vs Predicted
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2Georgia Institute of Technology-0.94+2.94vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.33+0.13vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.23-0.26vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont-0.92+0.05vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-1.14-0.57vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-0.34vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-1.71-1.50vs Predicted
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9College of Coastal Georgia-2.98-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.46College of Charleston2.0766.0%1st Place
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4.94Georgia Institute of Technology-0.944.2%1st Place
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3.13The Citadel0.3311.8%1st Place
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3.74Clemson University0.238.0%1st Place
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5.05University of Vermont-0.923.4%1st Place
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5.43North Carolina State University-1.143.4%1st Place
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6.66University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.611.7%1st Place
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6.5University of South Carolina-1.711.2%1st Place
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8.09College of Coastal Georgia-2.980.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 66.0% | 24.8% | 7.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Mellinger | 4.2% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 19.1% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 7.2% | 2.1% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 11.8% | 26.1% | 26.2% | 18.2% | 10.9% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Rowan Barnes | 8.0% | 17.8% | 22.6% | 19.6% | 16.0% | 10.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Julia Brighton | 3.4% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 19.1% | 14.2% | 9.6% | 1.9% |
| Julia Boutet | 3.4% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 18.3% | 13.3% | 3.9% |
| Nevin Williams | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 18.2% | 27.4% | 16.0% |
| Robert Gates | 1.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 14.8% | 20.4% | 24.7% | 13.5% |
| Joey Weaver | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 9.0% | 15.7% | 62.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.