Race 2C

veitor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Henry Vogel 7.8% 8.0% 10.1% 8.3% 6.5% 9.3% 8.3% 10.6% 7.0% 6.9% 7.0% 4.9% 3.3% 1.3% 0.7%
IG Schottlaender 16.9% 15.9% 14.0% 11.3% 11.6% 7.4% 8.3% 5.1% 3.6% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew McHenry 2.3% 1.7% 2.6% 2.9% 2.4% 3.1% 3.6% 4.0% 5.6% 6.6% 9.1% 13.1% 15.9% 16.0% 11.1%
Rob Struckett 11.9% 12.3% 12.2% 10.0% 9.9% 9.2% 8.4% 7.5% 6.4% 5.3% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Ryan Schmitz 8.3% 7.9% 6.8% 7.3% 9.3% 8.9% 8.8% 9.3% 9.8% 8.2% 6.2% 4.5% 3.4% 0.9% 0.4%
Dan Nickerson 13.0% 14.0% 12.3% 12.1% 11.4% 11.4% 7.2% 5.8% 4.7% 4.0% 2.4% 1.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Becker Awqatty 6.7% 5.5% 4.9% 7.1% 6.6% 8.1% 7.2% 9.1% 10.2% 9.5% 9.1% 5.9% 6.0% 3.3% 0.8%
Lauren Cefali 5.9% 5.0% 6.1% 7.2% 8.5% 7.3% 7.4% 7.2% 9.4% 10.2% 10.7% 7.5% 4.5% 2.4% 0.7%
Johanna Kincaid 8.9% 9.6% 10.3% 10.4% 8.6% 10.5% 9.8% 8.3% 8.0% 6.3% 4.4% 2.7% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Devon Rohde 4.5% 4.6% 4.8% 7.0% 6.6% 6.7% 9.6% 7.5% 8.0% 11.4% 8.9% 9.1% 6.0% 4.0% 1.3%
Ted Netland 1.8% 1.9% 1.4% 2.1% 2.7% 2.3% 4.2% 4.7% 4.4% 6.1% 8.7% 12.0% 15.0% 16.8% 15.9%
Christopher Calahan 0.9% 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 1.2% 1.9% 1.1% 2.1% 2.9% 4.1% 6.1% 8.5% 12.3% 21.7% 34.9%
Mary Clawson 0.9% 0.6% 1.3% 2.1% 2.1% 1.9% 2.1% 3.6% 3.5% 4.8% 5.9% 10.0% 13.8% 21.5% 25.9%
Daniel Barry 1.8% 2.3% 3.4% 2.8% 3.2% 4.3% 5.5% 6.0% 6.3% 6.6% 9.9% 14.8% 14.1% 11.0% 8.0%
Kimberly Kaull 8.4% 10.0% 8.9% 8.7% 9.4% 7.7% 8.5% 9.2% 10.2% 6.8% 5.9% 3.5% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.