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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.93+5.13vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.23+2.18vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.55+0.37vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.82+1.49vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.48+1.67vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+0.97vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.41-3.25vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.77-2.26vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-2.55vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.01-4.97vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College1.29-0.85vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy1.38-1.83vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.60-3.52vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.97-3.04vs Predicted
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16Bates College0.74-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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5.18Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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4.37Connecticut College3.550.2%1st Place
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6.49Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.67Northeastern University2.480.1%1st Place
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7.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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4.75Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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6.74Roger Williams University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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6.03Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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11.15Middlebury College1.290.0%1st Place
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11.17Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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10.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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11.96Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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12.46Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kimberly Kaull | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Rob Struckett | 11.6% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| IG Schottlaender | 16.8% | 15.6% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Becker Awqatty | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Dan Nickerson | 14.6% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Vogel | 7.9% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Lauren Cefali | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Ted Netland | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 18.0% | 14.6% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 17.1% | 16.6% | 13.0% |
| Daniel Barry | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 10.4% |
| Mary Clawson | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 21.9% | 23.0% |
| Christopher Calahan | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 17.8% | 35.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.