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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.07+0.44vs Predicted
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2Georgia Institute of Technology-0.94+3.02vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.23+0.76vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University-1.14+1.45vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.33-1.83vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-0.92-0.97vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-0.42vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-1.71-1.47vs Predicted
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9College of Coastal Georgia-2.98-0.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.44College of Charleston2.0767.6%1st Place
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5.02Georgia Institute of Technology-0.943.5%1st Place
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3.76Clemson University0.237.6%1st Place
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5.45North Carolina State University-1.142.8%1st Place
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3.17The Citadel0.3311.7%1st Place
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5.03University of Vermont-0.923.2%1st Place
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6.58University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.611.6%1st Place
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6.53University of South Carolina-1.711.3%1st Place
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8.03College of Coastal Georgia-2.980.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 67.6% | 23.3% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Mellinger | 3.5% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 18.1% | 17.4% | 14.0% | 9.4% | 1.6% |
| Rowan Barnes | 7.6% | 19.3% | 20.9% | 20.0% | 15.0% | 10.4% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Julia Boutet | 2.8% | 6.0% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 15.6% | 18.4% | 17.0% | 12.3% | 4.7% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 11.7% | 26.8% | 25.2% | 18.0% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Julia Brighton | 3.2% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 16.0% | 16.6% | 17.5% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 2.0% |
| Nevin Williams | 1.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 18.8% | 26.6% | 15.4% |
| Robert Gates | 1.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 20.7% | 26.2% | 12.8% |
| Joey Weaver | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 63.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.