Race 4C

veitor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Kimberly Kaull 9.8% 9.2% 9.5% 9.0% 9.2% 9.1% 7.8% 8.0% 8.4% 7.8% 4.7% 3.2% 2.8% 1.0% 0.5%
Dan Nickerson 13.3% 16.2% 12.9% 12.2% 9.1% 9.4% 7.1% 6.8% 5.3% 3.7% 2.0% 1.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Johanna Kincaid 10.3% 9.7% 9.8% 9.1% 9.6% 9.2% 9.3% 8.7% 7.8% 6.2% 5.3% 2.6% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Lauren Cefali 5.5% 5.5% 6.7% 6.7% 7.6% 7.6% 8.0% 8.2% 8.3% 10.8% 8.2% 7.9% 4.8% 3.2% 1.0%
Devon Rohde 5.3% 5.8% 5.4% 5.9% 5.4% 7.2% 7.1% 8.2% 7.7% 10.6% 11.4% 9.2% 5.4% 3.8% 1.6%
Ryan Schmitz 6.8% 8.9% 7.3% 8.8% 8.7% 10.2% 9.1% 9.2% 9.5% 7.7% 6.7% 3.7% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
Henry Vogel 8.2% 6.5% 7.5% 8.8% 10.1% 7.8% 9.0% 9.7% 7.9% 8.3% 6.1% 4.6% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4%
IG Schottlaender 17.5% 14.3% 13.7% 11.2% 11.3% 7.1% 8.6% 5.1% 5.5% 2.7% 2.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Becker Awqatty 4.8% 5.3% 6.7% 7.1% 7.6% 8.2% 8.2% 9.1% 9.9% 8.4% 9.3% 7.8% 4.8% 2.0% 0.8%
Rob Struckett 11.0% 11.5% 10.5% 12.0% 9.8% 9.2% 10.4% 6.4% 6.4% 5.2% 3.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
Andrew McHenry 1.9% 1.9% 2.0% 1.8% 2.1% 4.7% 3.6% 4.3% 5.4% 6.5% 10.4% 11.3% 15.3% 16.1% 12.7%
Ted Netland 1.8% 0.9% 1.7% 1.7% 2.1% 2.1% 3.7% 4.5% 5.8% 6.5% 7.5% 13.6% 14.7% 18.7% 14.7%
Mary Clawson 0.8% 1.0% 1.7% 1.7% 2.0% 2.3% 1.6% 3.6% 3.8% 3.5% 7.1% 9.4% 14.9% 21.3% 25.3%
Daniel Barry 2.2% 2.1% 3.3% 2.6% 3.6% 3.6% 4.5% 5.6% 5.9% 8.3% 9.8% 12.8% 15.8% 12.0% 7.9%
Christopher Calahan 0.8% 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 1.8% 2.3% 2.0% 2.6% 2.4% 3.8% 5.6% 9.9% 11.5% 18.6% 34.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.