Race 5C

veitor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Ryan Schmitz 8.5% 8.6% 9.3% 7.9% 7.2% 9.3% 9.5% 9.3% 7.4% 7.7% 6.7% 4.0% 2.9% 1.2% 0.5%
Kimberly Kaull 7.9% 10.7% 9.4% 9.4% 9.7% 7.9% 10.7% 8.0% 7.6% 6.7% 5.9% 3.5% 1.4% 1.0% 0.2%
Devon Rohde 5.9% 4.1% 6.9% 5.4% 7.0% 7.5% 7.9% 8.0% 8.7% 10.8% 9.4% 8.5% 6.1% 2.9% 0.9%
Henry Vogel 8.2% 7.7% 8.4% 7.3% 8.7% 8.2% 9.4% 7.5% 9.0% 9.2% 6.3% 5.2% 2.9% 1.6% 0.4%
Lauren Cefali 5.9% 6.5% 5.2% 6.2% 7.6% 7.5% 6.7% 8.3% 10.5% 9.7% 9.0% 6.7% 6.1% 3.5% 0.6%
Dan Nickerson 13.2% 14.8% 11.6% 12.5% 10.9% 9.3% 8.3% 7.2% 5.0% 4.2% 1.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Rob Struckett 13.3% 9.7% 11.5% 10.9% 11.3% 10.2% 8.4% 7.2% 5.1% 5.5% 3.1% 2.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Ted Netland 1.5% 2.2% 1.5% 2.4% 2.7% 2.6% 3.4% 4.4% 5.5% 5.6% 8.0% 12.0% 14.7% 18.0% 15.5%
Becker Awqatty 5.3% 5.4% 5.0% 7.9% 7.6% 9.3% 7.8% 9.3% 8.8% 8.7% 8.8% 8.1% 5.6% 1.9% 0.5%
IG Schottlaender 15.5% 15.2% 14.3% 12.1% 10.3% 9.0% 6.6% 6.5% 4.2% 2.5% 2.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew McHenry 2.1% 1.5% 2.0% 2.1% 2.5% 3.2% 3.9% 5.0% 6.0% 5.3% 9.4% 12.6% 15.7% 15.2% 13.5%
Johanna Kincaid 8.4% 8.7% 9.4% 10.5% 8.1% 8.3% 9.2% 8.7% 9.5% 7.0% 6.5% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Daniel Barry 2.2% 2.9% 2.2% 2.8% 3.0% 3.7% 3.8% 4.7% 6.3% 7.9% 9.5% 13.0% 15.1% 14.9% 8.0%
Christopher Calahan 1.1% 0.7% 1.0% 1.3% 1.5% 1.8% 1.4% 2.6% 3.6% 5.2% 5.5% 8.8% 12.2% 20.4% 32.9%
Mary Clawson 1.0% 1.3% 2.3% 1.3% 1.9% 2.2% 3.0% 3.3% 2.8% 4.0% 7.4% 10.4% 13.8% 18.4% 26.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.