Race 8C

veitor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Lauren Cefali 6.2% 6.3% 6.8% 6.6% 7.8% 7.5% 7.0% 8.0% 8.9% 9.5% 9.0% 6.7% 5.0% 3.6% 1.1%
IG Schottlaender 16.9% 17.1% 13.7% 11.2% 10.5% 8.2% 7.9% 5.6% 3.9% 2.4% 1.1% 0.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Rob Struckett 11.9% 12.6% 10.8% 10.5% 10.2% 9.4% 9.0% 8.3% 6.7% 4.5% 3.6% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Becker Awqatty 5.5% 6.0% 6.7% 6.4% 8.3% 7.8% 6.6% 8.4% 7.0% 10.5% 10.1% 7.6% 5.8% 2.6% 0.7%
Ted Netland 2.1% 1.4% 2.6% 2.8% 2.7% 2.8% 3.0% 3.3% 5.9% 6.1% 8.2% 10.1% 15.6% 17.5% 15.9%
Daniel Barry 2.1% 2.6% 3.0% 4.1% 2.1% 3.0% 4.0% 4.9% 6.7% 8.3% 10.3% 13.2% 16.1% 12.8% 6.8%
Henry Vogel 8.1% 7.0% 7.1% 8.1% 9.3% 8.5% 9.7% 10.4% 8.3% 8.7% 5.6% 4.2% 2.9% 1.9% 0.2%
Ryan Schmitz 7.0% 8.7% 9.5% 7.8% 7.7% 9.2% 8.3% 9.1% 7.6% 9.3% 7.0% 4.4% 2.4% 1.6% 0.4%
Johanna Kincaid 9.5% 10.3% 8.7% 8.6% 10.4% 10.8% 9.2% 8.5% 8.1% 6.4% 4.3% 3.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Kimberly Kaull 8.3% 8.2% 8.5% 9.6% 9.6% 8.3% 10.3% 9.6% 8.1% 6.7% 6.3% 3.4% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Christopher Calahan 1.1% 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.9% 2.9% 2.0% 3.1% 3.7% 5.3% 8.0% 13.5% 19.6% 34.5%
Mary Clawson 1.1% 0.8% 1.8% 1.0% 1.0% 1.1% 2.1% 3.5% 3.8% 4.4% 7.8% 10.8% 12.9% 20.5% 27.4%
Dan Nickerson 13.4% 11.5% 11.4% 12.6% 9.8% 10.0% 9.2% 7.2% 6.6% 3.6% 3.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Devon Rohde 4.8% 5.0% 5.6% 6.9% 5.8% 9.0% 6.6% 8.2% 9.8% 10.0% 8.7% 9.9% 5.4% 4.0% 0.3%
Andrew McHenry 2.0% 1.7% 2.6% 2.6% 3.6% 2.5% 4.2% 3.0% 5.5% 5.9% 9.7% 14.1% 15.2% 14.8% 12.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.