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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.93+5.11vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.77+4.55vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.23+2.20vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.55-0.57vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.82+0.64vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.41-2.27vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-0.49vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-1.07vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.01-4.12vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.60-0.62vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College1.29-0.84vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.97-0.75vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.48-6.12vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy1.38-4.09vs Predicted
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16Bates College0.74-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.11University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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6.55Roger Williams University2.770.1%1st Place
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5.2Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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4.43Connecticut College3.550.2%1st Place
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6.64Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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4.73Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.1%1st Place
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7.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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5.88Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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10.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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11.16Middlebury College1.290.0%1st Place
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12.25Salve Regina University0.970.0%1st Place
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7.88Northeastern University2.480.0%1st Place
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10.91Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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12.44Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kimberly Kaull | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Henry Vogel | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Rob Struckett | 12.4% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| IG Schottlaender | 16.7% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Dan Nickerson | 14.2% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Cefali | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Devon Rohde | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Barry | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 11.5% | 8.3% |
| Ted Netland | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 17.7% | 14.4% |
| Mary Clawson | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 15.3% | 21.1% | 26.0% |
| Becker Awqatty | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 12.5% |
| Christopher Calahan | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 19.7% | 34.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.