Race 11C

veitor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Kimberly Kaull 10.3% 8.2% 9.2% 9.4% 9.3% 8.7% 8.3% 9.4% 7.9% 7.3% 5.2% 3.5% 2.4% 0.6% 0.3%
Ryan Schmitz 7.4% 8.9% 10.1% 7.7% 8.8% 10.0% 9.0% 7.4% 7.8% 8.2% 6.7% 5.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
IG Schottlaender 17.2% 13.3% 13.2% 13.9% 9.5% 9.9% 7.7% 6.6% 3.2% 3.2% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lauren Cefali 5.2% 6.6% 5.7% 6.9% 8.3% 6.5% 8.1% 8.6% 9.6% 8.1% 9.7% 7.7% 6.3% 2.2% 0.5%
Johanna Kincaid 9.3% 10.1% 9.5% 7.5% 10.2% 8.9% 8.7% 9.2% 9.2% 5.9% 5.5% 4.0% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Dan Nickerson 13.7% 13.0% 12.8% 12.0% 12.6% 8.8% 8.4% 6.5% 4.7% 3.5% 2.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Ted Netland 2.4% 2.4% 1.8% 2.7% 2.3% 2.1% 3.5% 3.1% 5.8% 7.8% 7.7% 13.1% 15.4% 18.1% 11.8%
Rob Struckett 11.2% 12.7% 10.8% 11.6% 9.2% 8.0% 10.1% 8.3% 6.3% 5.2% 3.4% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Henry Vogel 6.9% 7.5% 8.4% 8.7% 8.1% 10.5% 9.4% 9.9% 7.0% 9.2% 6.7% 4.5% 2.0% 1.0% 0.2%
Andrew McHenry 1.9% 1.7% 2.2% 1.5% 3.0% 3.2% 4.2% 4.1% 5.9% 7.2% 8.5% 13.2% 16.0% 16.5% 10.9%
Daniel Barry 2.3% 2.7% 2.0% 2.5% 4.5% 4.2% 4.0% 5.5% 7.8% 5.9% 11.4% 12.3% 15.5% 11.4% 8.0%
Pierce Conlin 1.1% 0.6% 0.5% 1.2% 1.0% 1.7% 1.5% 2.0% 3.1% 3.8% 6.2% 8.0% 13.4% 21.9% 34.0%
Christopher Calahan 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 1.6% 1.3% 1.9% 2.5% 2.1% 3.2% 4.6% 5.0% 7.9% 12.5% 22.4% 33.0%
Becker Awqatty 5.7% 5.4% 7.1% 6.7% 6.0% 8.5% 7.8% 8.4% 9.0% 10.6% 9.3% 7.1% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5%
Devon Rohde 4.8% 6.2% 6.0% 6.1% 5.9% 7.1% 6.8% 8.9% 9.5% 9.5% 10.5% 9.7% 5.8% 2.6% 0.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.