Race 12C

veitor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Ryan Schmitz 9.0% 8.5% 7.8% 9.5% 7.9% 8.0% 8.0% 9.4% 8.8% 6.3% 8.3% 3.8% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4%
Kimberly Kaull 7.8% 10.5% 9.8% 10.8% 7.1% 10.5% 8.1% 7.4% 9.6% 6.8% 4.6% 4.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
IG Schottlaender 16.3% 15.1% 12.3% 12.4% 13.0% 7.8% 8.0% 7.1% 3.6% 2.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dan Nickerson 13.9% 15.4% 11.8% 11.6% 9.5% 9.7% 9.2% 6.3% 4.5% 3.8% 2.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Lauren Cefali 5.8% 6.1% 6.9% 5.5% 7.8% 6.7% 7.2% 8.5% 8.9% 11.1% 9.0% 8.1% 4.9% 2.6% 0.9%
Henry Vogel 7.6% 7.6% 6.6% 7.8% 9.5% 8.8% 10.4% 10.1% 8.5% 7.7% 6.1% 5.3% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2%
Johanna Kincaid 10.1% 8.9% 10.2% 8.7% 10.7% 10.2% 9.6% 8.7% 6.7% 5.6% 4.6% 3.2% 2.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Rob Struckett 12.5% 9.8% 12.8% 11.0% 8.8% 8.9% 9.2% 8.7% 7.4% 5.1% 2.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Devon Rohde 4.4% 4.3% 6.7% 6.8% 6.8% 7.8% 8.1% 9.8% 8.5% 9.7% 9.1% 9.0% 5.7% 2.6% 0.7%
Christopher Calahan 1.2% 0.8% 1.2% 1.0% 1.6% 1.5% 2.1% 2.1% 2.4% 5.0% 7.5% 7.9% 12.8% 21.7% 31.2%
Pierce Conlin 0.7% 1.5% 1.1% 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 1.9% 2.6% 2.8% 4.2% 7.4% 8.7% 12.4% 19.3% 33.7%
Ted Netland 1.7% 1.0% 1.3% 1.9% 1.7% 3.0% 3.8% 3.2% 5.4% 7.3% 8.9% 12.7% 16.6% 19.1% 12.4%
Andrew McHenry 1.3% 1.5% 3.0% 2.0% 3.4% 3.2% 3.0% 2.9% 5.8% 6.9% 9.8% 11.6% 16.9% 16.0% 12.7%
Becker Awqatty 5.4% 6.3% 6.3% 6.1% 7.5% 7.1% 7.9% 9.1% 9.8% 10.0% 8.1% 8.6% 4.4% 2.7% 0.7%
Daniel Barry 2.3% 2.7% 2.2% 3.6% 3.5% 5.6% 3.5% 4.1% 7.3% 8.0% 9.9% 13.4% 14.9% 12.0% 7.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.