← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin4.10+7.21vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.89+7.06vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University4.08+5.28vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College4.06+4.03vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island3.92+3.69vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University4.36+0.86vs Predicted
-
7Boston University3.56+3.29vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+0.74vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University3.27+2.57vs Predicted
-
10Washington College3.65+0.24vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont3.51-0.33vs Predicted
-
12Boston College3.88-2.69vs Predicted
-
13Stanford University4.05-4.95vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University3.47-3.61vs Predicted
-
15University of Oregon2.51-0.71vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College3.78-6.63vs Predicted
-
17University of South Florida3.49-6.30vs Predicted
-
18Brown University3.98-9.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.21University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
-
9.06Yale University3.890.0%1st Place
-
8.28Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
-
8.03Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
-
8.69University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
-
6.86Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
-
10.29Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
-
8.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
-
11.57Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
-
10.24Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
-
10.67University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
-
9.31Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
-
8.05Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
-
10.39Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
-
14.29University of Oregon2.510.0%1st Place
-
9.37Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
-
10.7University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
-
8.25Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Cam Cullman | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| William Haeger | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Sam Williams | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Amy Hawkins | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Brendan Kopp | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 4.8% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% |
| Philip Alley | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.5% |
| Michael Whitford | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% |
| Jordan Factor | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% |
| Alex Cook | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% |
| Kevin Laube | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Connor Needham | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% |
| Philip Gordon | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 12.6% | 37.7% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
| Will Stocke | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% |
| Colin Smith | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.