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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.00+7.65vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.70+7.21vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.86+5.73vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64+5.89vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.80+4.35vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.24+5.53vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.52+5.07vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College0.85+0.05vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.14-1.77vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University0.68-0.29vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.62-4.89vs Predicted
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12Cornell University0.94-3.91vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.00-4.78vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.73-4.99vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.78-6.14vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College-0.13-3.16vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California1.40-11.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.005.7%1st Place
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9.21George Washington University0.705.1%1st Place
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8.73St. Mary's College of Maryland0.865.3%1st Place
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9.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.644.1%1st Place
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9.35Tufts University0.805.1%1st Place
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11.53University of Vermont0.242.8%1st Place
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12.07Connecticut College0.522.9%1st Place
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8.05Eckerd College0.856.8%1st Place
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7.23Boston University1.148.1%1st Place
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9.71Northwestern University0.685.0%1st Place
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6.11Fordham University1.6210.6%1st Place
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8.09Cornell University0.946.7%1st Place
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8.22Northeastern University1.005.9%1st Place
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9.01Christopher Newport University0.735.2%1st Place
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8.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.786.5%1st Place
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12.84SUNY Maritime College-0.131.1%1st Place
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5.45University of Southern California1.4013.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Joseph Marynowski | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Calvin Marsh | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% |
| Blake Vogel | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 15.0% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 20.1% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% |
| Patrick Dolan | 10.6% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Marcus Greco | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Joshua Bendura | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Joey Richardson | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Luke Barker | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 26.2% |
| Luke Harris | 13.2% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.