← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Connecticut College3.71+7.51vs Predicted
-
2Brown University4.30+4.13vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida3.17+7.75vs Predicted
-
4Boston College3.92+3.37vs Predicted
-
5Yale University4.55+0.17vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island2.93+5.48vs Predicted
-
7Stanford University3.90+0.51vs Predicted
-
8Washington College2.29+5.58vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-0.46vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont3.63-1.13vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College4.05-3.92vs Predicted
-
12University of Wisconsin3.36-1.95vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University3.70-4.80vs Predicted
-
14Boston University3.35-4.59vs Predicted
-
15University of Oregon1.97-0.31vs Predicted
-
16Harvard University3.67-7.51vs Predicted
-
17University of South Florida2.77-4.81vs Predicted
-
18Cornell University2.48-5.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.51Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
-
6.13Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
-
10.75University of South Florida3.170.0%1st Place
-
7.37Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
-
5.17Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
-
11.48University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
-
7.51Stanford University3.900.1%1st Place
-
13.58Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
-
8.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
-
8.87University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
-
7.08Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
-
10.05University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
-
8.2Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
-
9.41Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
-
14.69University of Oregon1.970.0%1st Place
-
8.49Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
-
12.19University of South Florida2.770.0%1st Place
-
12.97Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlantic Brugman | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Brady | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
| William Bailey | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Graham Landy | 16.0% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| James Simmons | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 7.1% |
| Mateo Vargas | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Mildred Conroy | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 15.9% | 22.0% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Massimo Soriano | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Matt Johnson | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Andrew Balter | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 33.4% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Bryan White | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.3% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.