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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.44+7.22vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.94+8.33vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.51+9.05vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.55+3.54vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.56+2.51vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.77+4.79vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.72-0.10vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.10+1.41vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.29-0.35vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin2.85+0.71vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.23-2.00vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.51-3.89vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.49-5.26vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.80-7.66vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61-3.61vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.02-6.14vs Predicted
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17Washington College3.07-7.35vs Predicted
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18University of Oregon0.46-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.22Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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10.33Boston University2.940.0%1st Place
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12.05Roger Williams University2.510.0%1st Place
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7.54Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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7.51Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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10.79Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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6.9Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.41Harvard University3.100.0%1st Place
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8.65University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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10.71University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
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9.0Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.11University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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7.74Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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6.34Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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11.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.0%1st Place
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9.86University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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9.65Washington College3.070.1%1st Place
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16.8University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Miller | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Michael Saldi | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 1.6% |
| Cole Rice | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 5.2% |
| Ryan Mullins | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Duncan Howes | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 3.5% |
| Oliver Toole | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jason Michas | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Fox | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 2.4% |
| Tyler Rice | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| OJ O'Connell | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Scott Houck | 8.5% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Gullick | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 3.4% |
| Chanel Miller | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 1.9% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 1.3% |
| Eliza Pearce | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 76.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.