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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.65+7.70vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.53+7.22vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.41+2.95vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.90+3.47vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University3.92-0.77vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.13+0.80vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy3.06-0.04vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30+1.78vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University2.01+1.96vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.41-4.05vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.89-3.26vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.82-3.81vs Predicted
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13Brandeis University1.25+0.39vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58-1.82vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.73-3.02vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.83-4.30vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.29-3.45vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut0.07-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.7Stanford University2.650.0%1st Place
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9.22Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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5.95Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.47Bowdoin College2.900.1%1st Place
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4.23Salve Regina University3.920.2%1st Place
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6.8Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.96Maine Maritime Academy3.060.1%1st Place
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9.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.0%1st Place
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10.96Wesleyan University2.010.0%1st Place
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5.95University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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7.74Bowdoin College2.890.1%1st Place
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8.19Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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13.39Brandeis University1.250.0%1st Place
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12.18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
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11.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.730.0%1st Place
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11.7Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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13.55University of Rhode Island1.290.0%1st Place
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16.24University of Connecticut0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Ortel | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Caitlin Watson | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| John Meleney | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Edmunds | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 20.4% | 16.5% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Burd | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Blake Burgess | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tevis Nichols | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Angus Page | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Nate Jermain | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Jared Dunn | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 18.2% | 11.8% |
| Andrew Morgan | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 6.3% |
| Brian Gracey | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 4.2% |
| Heidi Hood | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 4.1% |
| Zachary O'Brien | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 18.4% | 12.0% |
| Lyndsay Stockwell | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 7.6% | 15.3% | 57.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.