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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.41+4.97vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.65+6.74vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.53+6.20vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.13+2.63vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.73+6.80vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.90+1.58vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy3.06-0.07vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University3.92-3.79vs Predicted
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9Brandeis University1.25+4.59vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.89-2.11vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.82-2.98vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30-1.79vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.41-7.32vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58-1.87vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.29-1.63vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University2.01-4.94vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.83-5.26vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut0.07-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.97Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.74Stanford University2.650.0%1st Place
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9.2Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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6.63Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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11.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.730.0%1st Place
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7.58Bowdoin College2.900.1%1st Place
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6.93Maine Maritime Academy3.060.1%1st Place
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4.21Salve Regina University3.920.2%1st Place
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13.59Brandeis University1.250.0%1st Place
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7.89Bowdoin College2.890.1%1st Place
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8.02Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.0%1st Place
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5.68University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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12.13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
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13.37University of Rhode Island1.290.0%1st Place
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11.06Wesleyan University2.010.0%1st Place
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11.74Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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16.24University of Connecticut0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Meleney | 10.1% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Ortel | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Trevor Burd | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brian Gracey | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 4.6% |
| Peter Edmunds | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Blake Burgess | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 18.1% | 17.8% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jared Dunn | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 19.1% | 10.5% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Tevis Nichols | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 0.7% |
| Nate Jermain | 12.5% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Morgan | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 6.1% |
| Zachary O'Brien | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 17.0% | 11.5% |
| Angus Page | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Heidi Hood | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 3.5% |
| Lyndsay Stockwell | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 14.1% | 58.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.