← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College2.90+6.83vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University3.92+2.38vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College2.89+4.83vs Predicted
-
4Brandeis University1.25+9.38vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont3.41+0.75vs Predicted
-
6Maine Maritime Academy3.06+0.97vs Predicted
-
7Wesleyan University2.01+4.00vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University3.41-2.30vs Predicted
-
9Boston College2.82-1.12vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30+0.14vs Predicted
-
11Stanford University2.65-2.34vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University1.83-0.14vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University2.53-4.13vs Predicted
-
14Boston University3.13-7.43vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.73-3.07vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58-3.40vs Predicted
-
17University of Rhode Island1.29-3.55vs Predicted
-
18University of Connecticut0.07-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.83Bowdoin College2.900.1%1st Place
-
4.38Salve Regina University3.920.2%1st Place
-
7.83Bowdoin College2.890.1%1st Place
-
13.38Brandeis University1.250.0%1st Place
-
5.75University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
-
6.97Maine Maritime Academy3.060.1%1st Place
-
11.0Wesleyan University2.010.0%1st Place
-
5.7Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
-
7.88Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
-
10.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.0%1st Place
-
8.66Stanford University2.650.1%1st Place
-
11.86Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
-
8.87Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
-
6.57Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
-
11.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.730.0%1st Place
-
12.6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
-
13.45University of Rhode Island1.290.0%1st Place
-
16.21University of Connecticut0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Edmunds | 6.3% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 15.5% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jared Dunn | 1.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 18.4% | 12.1% |
| Nate Jermain | 12.1% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Burgess | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Angus Page | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| John Meleney | 12.2% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Tevis Nichols | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| John Ortel | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 4.8% |
| Caitlin Watson | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Trevor Burd | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brian Gracey | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 3.8% |
| Andrew Morgan | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 6.8% |
| Zachary O'Brien | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 17.9% | 11.7% |
| Lyndsay Stockwell | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 16.4% | 55.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.