← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University3.29+6.81vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.58+4.96vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College4.05+2.47vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont3.37+3.82vs Predicted
-
5Yale University3.10+3.53vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College4.06-0.34vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University3.61-0.08vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-0.92vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-5.00vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-2.13vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College2.96-1.72vs Predicted
-
12Salve Regina University3.31-4.13vs Predicted
-
13Brown University2.53-2.35vs Predicted
-
15University of New Hampshire1.81-2.23vs Predicted
-
16Wesleyan University-0.21+0.05vs Predicted
-
19Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49-3.69vs Predicted
-
20University of Connecticut1.72-7.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.81Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
-
6.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.580.1%1st Place
-
5.47Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
-
7.82University of Vermont3.370.1%1st Place
-
8.53Yale University3.100.0%1st Place
-
5.66Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
-
6.92Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
-
7.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
-
4.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.2%1st Place
-
7.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
-
9.28Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
-
7.87Salve Regina University3.310.1%1st Place
-
10.65Brown University2.530.0%1st Place
-
12.77University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
-
16.05Wesleyan University-0.210.0%1st Place
-
15.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
-
12.94University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catherine Swanson | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ian Oviatt | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Wefer | 12.5% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pete Hazelett | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Genoa Warner | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sam Williams | 11.4% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Ingham | 17.9% | 19.3% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Krysta Rohde | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Heussler | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Schon | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Madeleine Harvey | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 11.0% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Neal Drake | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 17.2% | 24.1% | 15.1% | 3.1% |
| Austen Fiora | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 21.4% | 61.6% |
| Nate Olsen | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 13.4% | 39.9% | 28.9% |
| Thomas Presti | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 25.1% | 15.5% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.