← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University1.62+4.84vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.86+6.55vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University1.00+4.93vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University0.94+4.09vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.01+2.90vs Predicted
-
6University of Southern California1.40-0.67vs Predicted
-
7Boston University1.14+0.02vs Predicted
-
8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.00+0.55vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64+0.66vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University0.80-0.89vs Predicted
-
11Christopher Newport University0.73-2.18vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College0.52-0.22vs Predicted
-
13Eckerd College0.85-5.29vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Maritime College-0.13-1.36vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont0.24-3.69vs Predicted
-
16George Washington University0.70-7.06vs Predicted
-
17Northwestern University-0.38-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.84Fordham University1.6212.0%1st Place
-
8.55St. Mary's College of Maryland0.865.2%1st Place
-
7.93Northeastern University1.006.1%1st Place
-
8.09Cornell University0.946.8%1st Place
-
7.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.017.4%1st Place
-
5.33University of Southern California1.4014.1%1st Place
-
7.02Boston University1.147.8%1st Place
-
8.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.006.5%1st Place
-
9.66U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.645.0%1st Place
-
9.11Tufts University0.804.7%1st Place
-
8.82Christopher Newport University0.734.8%1st Place
-
11.78Connecticut College0.522.4%1st Place
-
7.71Eckerd College0.857.2%1st Place
-
12.64SUNY Maritime College-0.131.4%1st Place
-
11.31University of Vermont0.242.5%1st Place
-
8.94George Washington University0.705.4%1st Place
-
13.83Northwestern University-0.381.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Dolan | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Marynowski | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Marcus Greco | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Tomas Riccio | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Luke Harris | 14.1% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Calvin Marsh | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 3.5% |
| Blake Vogel | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 15.5% | 13.2% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Luke Barker | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 16.4% | 20.5% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 11.6% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| George Warfel | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 16.1% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.