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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.65+7.77vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.89+5.83vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.41+2.93vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University3.92+0.24vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.41+0.78vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.53+3.00vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.13-0.23vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy3.06-1.16vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30+0.88vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.73+2.26vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.90-3.31vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.82-3.83vs Predicted
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13Brandeis University0.95+1.37vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.29-0.78vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.83-3.37vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University2.01-4.96vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58-4.31vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut0.76-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.77Stanford University2.650.0%1st Place
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7.83Bowdoin College2.890.1%1st Place
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5.93Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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4.24Salve Regina University3.920.2%1st Place
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5.78University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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9.0Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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6.77Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.84Maine Maritime Academy3.060.1%1st Place
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9.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.0%1st Place
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12.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.730.0%1st Place
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7.69Bowdoin College2.900.1%1st Place
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8.17Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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14.37Brandeis University0.950.0%1st Place
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13.22University of Rhode Island1.290.0%1st Place
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11.63Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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11.04Wesleyan University2.010.0%1st Place
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12.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
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14.9University of Connecticut0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Ortel | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| John Meleney | 10.7% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 18.8% | 17.3% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nate Jermain | 11.3% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Trevor Burd | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Blake Burgess | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tevis Nichols | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Brian Gracey | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 6.5% |
| Peter Edmunds | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Davida Judelson | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 18.5% | 26.0% |
| Zachary O'Brien | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 13.2% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 4.6% |
| Angus Page | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 3.6% |
| Andrew Morgan | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 9.4% |
| William Kresic | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 32.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.