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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire0.10+4.16vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering0.22+3.09vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University-0.58+4.48vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.40+2.78vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College-0.27+1.63vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.41-1.37vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.43-3.02vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.09+1.17vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.11+0.41vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.54+0.88vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.37-4.10vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-1.77-0.66vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.76-1.88vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-2.86-0.13vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-4.43vs Predicted
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16Bates College-2.52-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.16University of New Hampshire0.1012.0%1st Place
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5.09Olin College of Engineering0.2211.8%1st Place
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7.48Northeastern University-0.585.7%1st Place
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6.78Bates College-0.407.2%1st Place
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6.63Dartmouth College-0.277.4%1st Place
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4.63McGill University0.4114.0%1st Place
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3.98Connecticut College0.4318.9%1st Place
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9.17University of New Hampshire-1.093.1%1st Place
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9.41University of New Hampshire-1.112.5%1st Place
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10.88University of New Hampshire-1.541.8%1st Place
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6.9University of New Hampshire-0.377.3%1st Place
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11.34University of New Hampshire-1.771.8%1st Place
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11.12Middlebury College-1.762.1%1st Place
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13.87University of New Hampshire-2.860.5%1st Place
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10.57University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.422.6%1st Place
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12.97Bates College-2.521.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Harris | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Frary | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Rob Mailley | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Genevieve Lau | 14.0% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Powers | 18.9% | 18.1% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Brendan OBrien | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 6.2% |
| Ted Richardsson | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Smits | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 8.8% |
| Talia Trigg | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 7.5% |
| Benjamin Haddad | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 19.1% | 44.1% |
| Andy Giaya | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 5.2% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 23.2% | 24.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.