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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University3.92+3.40vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.13+4.90vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy3.06+4.18vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.82+3.73vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.41+0.75vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.41-0.21vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University1.25+6.55vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.90-0.57vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30+0.84vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58+2.70vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.29+2.49vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University2.01-0.78vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.53-4.22vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.89-6.64vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.25-1.47vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.65-7.49vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.73-4.94vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut0.76-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.4Salve Regina University3.920.2%1st Place
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6.9Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.18Maine Maritime Academy3.060.1%1st Place
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7.73Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.75University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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5.79Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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13.55Brandeis University1.250.0%1st Place
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7.43Bowdoin College2.900.1%1st Place
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9.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.0%1st Place
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12.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
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13.49University of Rhode Island1.290.0%1st Place
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11.22Wesleyan University2.010.0%1st Place
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8.78Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
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7.36Bowdoin College2.890.1%1st Place
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13.53Northeastern University1.250.0%1st Place
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8.51Stanford University2.650.1%1st Place
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12.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.730.0%1st Place
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14.8University of Connecticut0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Pellegrini | 16.2% | 17.7% | 14.3% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Burd | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Blake Burgess | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Nate Jermain | 12.1% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Meleney | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jared Dunn | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 16.9% |
| Peter Edmunds | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Tevis Nichols | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Morgan | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 8.8% |
| Zachary O'Brien | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 16.0% |
| Angus Page | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 3.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Zach Shapiro | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 14.3% |
| John Ortel | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Brian Gracey | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 7.1% |
| William Kresic | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 15.9% | 31.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.