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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire0.10+4.29vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.00+1.26vs Predicted
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3McGill University0.41+1.72vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.40+2.73vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-1.09+4.18vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-1.11+3.41vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-1.76+4.12vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.37-1.10vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University-0.58-1.47vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College-0.27-3.46vs Predicted
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11Olin College of Engineering0.22-5.71vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-1.36vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-1.54-2.20vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-1.77-2.67vs Predicted
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15Bates College-2.52-1.75vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-2.86-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29University of New Hampshire0.1011.6%1st Place
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3.26Connecticut College1.0026.2%1st Place
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4.72McGill University0.4113.2%1st Place
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6.73Bates College-0.406.6%1st Place
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9.18University of New Hampshire-1.093.5%1st Place
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9.41University of New Hampshire-1.112.9%1st Place
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11.12Middlebury College-1.761.5%1st Place
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6.9University of New Hampshire-0.376.1%1st Place
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7.53Northeastern University-0.585.1%1st Place
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6.54Dartmouth College-0.276.8%1st Place
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5.29Olin College of Engineering0.2210.4%1st Place
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10.64University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.421.6%1st Place
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10.8University of New Hampshire-1.541.9%1st Place
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11.33University of New Hampshire-1.771.8%1st Place
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13.25Bates College-2.520.5%1st Place
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13.99University of New Hampshire-2.860.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Harris | 11.6% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Hurd | 26.2% | 20.3% | 15.6% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Genevieve Lau | 13.2% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Frary | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Brendan OBrien | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Talia Trigg | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 6.7% |
| Ted Richardsson | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Rob Mailley | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| James Jagielski | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Andy Giaya | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 4.9% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 5.7% |
| Ethan Smits | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 7.9% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 23.4% | 26.2% |
| Benjamin Haddad | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 18.6% | 44.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.