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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.82+7.07vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University3.92+2.32vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.41+2.85vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.13+2.70vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.41+0.74vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.65+2.51vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.89+0.53vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.25+5.45vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.53-0.13vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy3.06-2.80vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.73+1.09vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.29+1.71vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University2.01-2.22vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.58-1.77vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut0.76-0.03vs Predicted
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16Brandeis University1.25-2.34vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.90-9.31vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30-8.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.07Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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4.32Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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5.85Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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6.7Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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5.74University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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8.51Stanford University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.53Bowdoin College2.890.1%1st Place
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13.45Northeastern University1.250.0%1st Place
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8.87Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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7.2Maine Maritime Academy3.060.1%1st Place
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12.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.730.0%1st Place
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13.71University of Rhode Island1.290.0%1st Place
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10.78Wesleyan University2.010.0%1st Place
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12.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.580.0%1st Place
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14.97University of Connecticut0.760.0%1st Place
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13.66Brandeis University1.250.0%1st Place
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7.69Bowdoin College2.900.1%1st Place
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9.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Schmitz | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 14.3% | 18.1% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Meleney | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Burd | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Nate Jermain | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Ortel | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Zach Shapiro | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 16.8% | 14.4% |
| Caitlin Watson | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Blake Burgess | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Brian Gracey | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 6.4% |
| Zachary O'Brien | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 16.8% |
| Angus Page | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 2.2% |
| Andrew Morgan | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 8.0% |
| William Kresic | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 18.6% | 32.3% |
| Jared Dunn | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 17.0% |
| Peter Edmunds | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Tevis Nichols | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.