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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.12+2.81vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College0.60+1.04vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.00+2.67vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.33+1.57vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.93+1.86vs Predicted
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6McGill University-1.59+3.06vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-1.83+2.61vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.41+0.43vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering-0.92-2.18vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-2.26+1.15vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-1.69-1.78vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-1.42-4.14vs Predicted
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13Bates College-1.99-2.84vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.98-3.88vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-2.99-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Northeastern University0.1218.7%1st Place
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3.04Connecticut College0.6027.6%1st Place
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5.67University of New Hampshire-0.009.6%1st Place
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5.57Bates College-0.339.6%1st Place
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6.86University of New Hampshire-0.936.6%1st Place
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9.06McGill University-1.592.6%1st Place
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9.61University of New Hampshire-1.831.8%1st Place
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8.43University of New Hampshire-1.413.1%1st Place
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6.82Olin College of Engineering-0.925.5%1st Place
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11.15University of New Hampshire-2.261.2%1st Place
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9.22University of New Hampshire-1.692.9%1st Place
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7.86Middlebury College-1.425.8%1st Place
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10.16Bates College-1.992.2%1st Place
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10.12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.982.2%1st Place
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12.62University of New Hampshire-2.990.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Rooks | 18.7% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 27.6% | 21.7% | 18.1% | 12.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Harry Stevenson | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Isabelle Ouimet | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 3.6% |
| Cameron McLean | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% |
| Devyn Weed | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| Rohan Shah | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Gavin Tucker | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 18.2% | 15.4% |
| Cameron Gesswin | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 5.1% |
| William Procter | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Stephanie Charbonnier | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 10.2% |
| Maisey Jobson | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.9% |
| Jacob Mitchell | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 15.8% | 42.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.