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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.12+2.85vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering-0.92+4.77vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.60+0.12vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.00+1.78vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-1.41+3.19vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.93+0.75vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.33-1.31vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.83+1.68vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.42-0.89vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.98+0.21vs Predicted
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11Bates College-1.99-0.87vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-1.69-2.68vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-2.26-1.98vs Predicted
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14McGill University-1.59-5.17vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-2.99-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85Northeastern University0.1218.6%1st Place
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6.77Olin College of Engineering-0.927.4%1st Place
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3.12Connecticut College0.6026.5%1st Place
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5.78University of New Hampshire-0.008.9%1st Place
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8.19University of New Hampshire-1.414.5%1st Place
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6.75University of New Hampshire-0.936.0%1st Place
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5.69Bates College-0.338.9%1st Place
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9.68University of New Hampshire-1.833.0%1st Place
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8.11Middlebury College-1.424.0%1st Place
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10.21University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.982.5%1st Place
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10.13Bates College-1.992.0%1st Place
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9.32University of New Hampshire-1.692.9%1st Place
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11.02University of New Hampshire-2.261.6%1st Place
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8.83McGill University-1.592.2%1st Place
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12.55University of New Hampshire-2.990.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Rooks | 18.6% | 17.6% | 16.7% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rohan Shah | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 26.5% | 21.6% | 16.8% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Devyn Weed | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Harry Stevenson | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Cameron McLean | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 6.7% |
| William Procter | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Maisey Jobson | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 9.6% |
| Stephanie Charbonnier | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 10.1% |
| Cameron Gesswin | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 5.6% |
| Gavin Tucker | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 17.2% |
| Isabelle Ouimet | 2.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
| Jacob Mitchell | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 16.0% | 42.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.