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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.00+5.28vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.60+9.00vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+4.51vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.52+0.54vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.68+2.08vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.48+5.23vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.09+2.12vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University3.36-3.11vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University2.71-2.03vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.83+0.19vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.74-4.04vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-0.75vs Predicted
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13Brandeis University0.59+0.54vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.67-9.93vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.02-5.68vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.39-1.75vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-1.50+0.24vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.34-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.28Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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11.0University of Rhode Island1.600.0%1st Place
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7.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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4.54Bowdoin College3.520.2%1st Place
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7.08University of Vermont2.680.1%1st Place
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11.23Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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9.12Boston College2.090.0%1st Place
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4.89Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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6.97Wesleyan University2.710.1%1st Place
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10.19Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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6.96Bowdoin College2.740.1%1st Place
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11.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.0%1st Place
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13.54Brandeis University0.590.0%1st Place
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4.07Tufts University3.670.2%1st Place
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9.32Stanford University2.020.0%1st Place
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14.25Maine Maritime Academy0.390.0%1st Place
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17.24University of Connecticut-1.500.0%1st Place
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15.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Fraser | 7.1% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Wordell | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Bradley Brown | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 15.8% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Sturges | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ames Lyman | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Evan Woodford | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 13.8% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John McGlynn | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Tom Peabody | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Drach | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 3.8% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Hardy | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 15.5% | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.2% |
| Ben Weigel | 19.1% | 17.1% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Kohrman | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin King | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 15.7% | 21.1% | 20.4% | 5.9% |
| Timothy Donahoe | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 13.8% | 72.0% |
| Marshall Bailey | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 8.9% | 16.5% | 38.3% | 17.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.