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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.12+2.94vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-0.93+4.68vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.00+2.72vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College0.60-0.92vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-1.41+3.39vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-1.42+1.94vs Predicted
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7McGill University-1.59+1.90vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.83+1.70vs Predicted
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9Bates College-0.33-3.30vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.69-0.77vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-2.26-0.07vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.98-1.95vs Predicted
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13Bates College-1.99-2.98vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-2.99-1.22vs Predicted
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15Olin College of Engineering-0.92-8.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.94Northeastern University0.1217.8%1st Place
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6.68University of New Hampshire-0.937.0%1st Place
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5.72University of New Hampshire-0.009.2%1st Place
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3.08Connecticut College0.6028.1%1st Place
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8.39University of New Hampshire-1.413.8%1st Place
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7.94Middlebury College-1.424.2%1st Place
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8.9McGill University-1.593.2%1st Place
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9.7University of New Hampshire-1.832.5%1st Place
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5.7Bates College-0.338.4%1st Place
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9.23University of New Hampshire-1.693.2%1st Place
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10.93University of New Hampshire-2.261.8%1st Place
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10.05University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.982.3%1st Place
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10.02Bates College-1.992.5%1st Place
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12.78University of New Hampshire-2.990.4%1st Place
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6.95Olin College of Engineering-0.925.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Rooks | 17.8% | 17.2% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| James Sullivan | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 28.1% | 21.1% | 16.2% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devyn Weed | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| William Procter | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Isabelle Ouimet | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.5% |
| Cameron McLean | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 6.3% |
| Harry Stevenson | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Gesswin | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 5.7% |
| Gavin Tucker | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 17.5% | 15.9% |
| Maisey Jobson | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 8.3% |
| Stephanie Charbonnier | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 8.8% |
| Jacob Mitchell | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 16.1% | 44.8% |
| Rohan Shah | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.