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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+2.82vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University3.31+6.05vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College4.06+2.61vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.05+1.62vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.10+3.70vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire1.81+5.95vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.76+2.00vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.58-1.99vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-2.53vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.02-2.00vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-3.70vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.37-5.11vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.71-7.17vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.15-6.21vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut2.36-4.69vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49-1.60vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University-0.21-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.2%1st Place
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8.05Salve Regina University3.310.1%1st Place
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5.61Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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5.62Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.7Yale University3.100.0%1st Place
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12.95University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
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10.0Tufts University2.760.0%1st Place
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7.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.580.1%1st Place
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7.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
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9.0Brown University3.020.0%1st Place
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8.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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7.89University of Vermont3.370.1%1st Place
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6.83Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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8.79Roger Williams University3.150.0%1st Place
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11.31University of Connecticut2.360.0%1st Place
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15.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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16.25Wesleyan University-0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Ingham | 22.5% | 16.8% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schon | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Williams | 10.5% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 12.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Genoa Warner | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Neal Drake | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 13.9% | 28.5% | 16.0% | 4.0% |
| T. Max Bulger | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Ian Oviatt | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Claflin | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Krysta Rohde | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Pete Hazelett | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Simeone | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 16.8% | 7.6% | 1.5% |
| Nate Olsen | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 10.3% | 45.2% | 28.8% |
| Austen Fiora | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 7.3% | 21.0% | 64.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.