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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.01+7.03vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College0.52+9.99vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.80+6.55vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.40+1.63vs Predicted
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5George Washington University0.70+4.30vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.73+3.10vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.87+0.24vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.00+0.08vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-0.38+4.91vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.00-1.26vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College-0.13+1.88vs Predicted
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12Cornell University0.94-3.84vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.64-3.00vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.86-5.35vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.14-7.82vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.62-9.82vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College0.85-8.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.016.7%1st Place
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11.99Connecticut College0.522.5%1st Place
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9.55Tufts University0.804.9%1st Place
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5.63University of Southern California1.4013.1%1st Place
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9.3George Washington University0.704.0%1st Place
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9.1Christopher Newport University0.734.9%1st Place
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7.24University of Vermont0.877.6%1st Place
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8.08Northeastern University1.006.8%1st Place
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13.91Northwestern University-0.380.9%1st Place
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8.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.005.2%1st Place
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12.88SUNY Maritime College-0.131.7%1st Place
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8.16Cornell University0.946.0%1st Place
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10.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.643.8%1st Place
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8.65St. Mary's College of Maryland0.866.3%1st Place
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7.18Boston University1.148.7%1st Place
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6.18Fordham University1.6211.0%1st Place
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8.38Eckerd College0.856.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas Riccio | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 15.6% |
| Blake Vogel | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 3.4% |
| Luke Harris | 13.1% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 2.3% |
| Joshua Bendura | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Christian Cushman | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| George Warfel | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 16.6% | 37.6% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Luke Barker | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 17.6% | 22.4% |
| Marcus Greco | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Calvin Marsh | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% |
| Joseph Marynowski | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Tiare Sierra | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Dolan | 11.0% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.