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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.67+3.02vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.48+8.73vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.68+4.08vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.00+2.01vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University3.36-0.16vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.52-1.39vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.60+3.54vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.02+1.05vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.74-2.04vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.83-0.21vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-0.19vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-4.73vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University2.71-5.94vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.09-4.89vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.39-1.37vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.34-0.91vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-1.50-0.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.02Tufts University3.670.2%1st Place
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10.73Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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7.08University of Vermont2.680.1%1st Place
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6.01Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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4.84Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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4.61Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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10.54University of Rhode Island1.600.0%1st Place
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9.05Stanford University2.020.0%1st Place
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6.96Bowdoin College2.740.1%1st Place
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9.79Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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10.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.0%1st Place
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7.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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7.06Wesleyan University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.11Boston College2.090.0%1st Place
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13.63Maine Maritime Academy0.390.0%1st Place
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15.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.340.0%1st Place
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16.4University of Connecticut-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Weigel | 20.2% | 17.1% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ames Lyman | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 11.0% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Michael Sturges | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 9.7% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 13.9% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 13.0% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Wordell | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Max Kohrman | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tom Peabody | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tasha Greenwood | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Drach | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 12.4% | 4.8% | 0.2% |
| Bradley Brown | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John McGlynn | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Evan Woodford | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin King | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 26.8% | 24.2% | 6.3% |
| Marshall Bailey | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 16.2% | 43.2% | 20.7% |
| Timothy Donahoe | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 5.3% | 17.1% | 71.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.